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	<front>
		<journal-meta>
			<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">bbr</journal-id>
			<journal-title-group>
				<journal-title>BBR. Brazilian Business Review</journal-title>
				<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">BBR, Braz. Bus. Rev.</abbrev-journal-title>
			</journal-title-group>
			<issn pub-type="epub">1807-734X</issn>
			<issn pub-type="ppub">1808-2386</issn>
			<publisher>
				<publisher-name>Fucape Business School</publisher-name>
			</publisher>
		</journal-meta>
		<article-meta>
			<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.15728/bbr.2020.17.2.6</article-id>
			<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">00006</article-id>
			<article-categories>
				<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
					<subject>Article</subject>
				</subj-group>
			</article-categories>
			<title-group>
				<article-title>The impact of crises on investments and financing of Brazilian companies: an approach in the context of financial constraints</article-title>
				<trans-title-group xml:lang="pt">
					<trans-title>Impacto de crises sobre investimentos e financiamentos de companhias brasileiras: abordagem no contexto de restrições financeiras</trans-title>
				</trans-title-group>
			</title-group>
			<contrib-group>
				<contrib contrib-type="author">
					<contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">0000-0001-9602-6229</contrib-id>
					<name>
						<surname>Franzotti</surname>
						<given-names>Tatiane Del Arco</given-names>
					</name>
					<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
					<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c1"><sup>a</sup></xref>
				</contrib>
				<contrib contrib-type="author">
					<contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">0000-0003-2439-3526</contrib-id>
					<name>
						<surname>Valle</surname>
						<given-names>Maurício Ribeiro do</given-names>
					</name>
					<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
					<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c2"><sup>b</sup></xref>
				</contrib>
				<aff id="aff1">
					<label>1</label>
					<institution content-type="original">Universidade de São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil</institution>
					<institution content-type="normalized">Universidade de São Paulo</institution>
					<institution content-type="orgname">Universidade de São Paulo</institution>
					<addr-line>
						<named-content content-type="city">Ribeirão Preto</named-content>
						<named-content content-type="state">SP</named-content>
					</addr-line>
					<country country="BR">Brasil</country>
				</aff>
			</contrib-group>
			<author-notes>
				<corresp id="c1">
					<email>tdfranzotti@gmail.com</email>
				</corresp>
				<corresp id="c2">
					<email>marvalle@usp.br</email>
				</corresp>
			</author-notes>
			<!--<pub-date date-type="pub" publication-format="electronic">
				<day>30</day>
				<month>04</month>
				<year>2020</year>
			</pub-date>-->
			<pub-date pub-type="epub-ppub">
				<season>Mar-Apr</season>
				<year>2020</year>
			</pub-date>
			<volume>17</volume>
			<issue>2</issue>
			<fpage>233</fpage>
			<lpage>252</lpage>
			<history>
				<date date-type="received">
					<day>06</day>
					<month>11</month>
					<year>2018</year>
				</date>
				<date date-type="rev-recd">
					<day>17</day>
					<month>02</month>
					<year>2019</year>
				</date>
				<date date-type="accepted">
					<day>30</day>
					<month>07</month>
					<year>2019</year>
				</date>
			</history>
			<permissions>
				<license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xml:lang="en">
					<license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License</license-p>
				</license>
			</permissions>
			<abstract>
				<title>Abstract</title>
				<p>The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impacts of financial crises on investments and financing of constrained and unconstrained Brazilian firms, specifically analyzing the impact of the 2008 subprime crisis and the 2015 Brazilian economic crisis. For this purpose, the companies were classified as constrained or non-constrained by the criterion of the existence or non-existence of ratings<italic>,</italic> using quarterly data between Q1 2007 and Q3 2016, and adopting the panel analysis as the method. The results indicate that only the Brazilian crisis of 2015 had a negative impact on corporate investments, with this impact being greater on constrained firms, with evidence that cash was more relevant to these firms. Regarding the impact of crises on leverage, the 2008 subprime crisis showed a greater negative impact on the leverage of constrained firms, accompanied by an increase in the proportion of short-term debt, mainly to these companies.</p>
			</abstract>
			<trans-abstract xml:lang="pt">
				<title>Resumo</title>
				<p>O objetivo deste artigo é investigar os impactos de crises financeiras sobre investimentos e financiamentos de empresas brasileiras restritas e não restritas, analisando especificamente o impacto da crise do <italic>subprime</italic> de 2008 e a crise brasileira de 2015. Para isso, as empresas foram classificadas em restritas e não restritas pelo critério de existência ou não de <italic>rating,</italic> utilizando dados trimestrais entre o primeiro trimestre de 2007 e o terceiro trimestre de 2016, adotando como método a análise de dados em painel. Os resultados indicam que somente a crise brasileira de 2015 impactou, negativamente, os investimentos das empresas, sendo esse impacto maior sobre empresas restritas, havendo indícios de que caixa foi mais relevante para essas empresas. Em relação ao impacto de crises sobre a alavancagem, a crise do <italic>subprime</italic> de 2008 mostrou impacto maior, negativamente, sobre a alavancagem de empresas restritas, acompanhado de um aumento na proporção das dívidas de curto prazo principalmente para essas empresas.</p>
			</trans-abstract>
			<kwd-group xml:lang="en">
				<title>Keywords:</title>
				<kwd>financial crisis</kwd>
				<kwd>investment</kwd>
				<kwd>financing</kwd>
				<kwd>financial constraint</kwd>
				<kwd>informational asymmetries</kwd>
			</kwd-group>
			<kwd-group xml:lang="pt">
				<title>Palavras-chave:</title>
				<kwd>crise financeira</kwd>
				<kwd>investimento</kwd>
				<kwd>financiamento</kwd>
				<kwd>restrição financeira</kwd>
				<kwd>assimetrias informacionais</kwd>
			</kwd-group>
			<counts>
				<fig-count count="1"/>
				<table-count count="7"/>
				<equation-count count="10"/>
				<ref-count count="25"/>
				<page-count count="20"/>
			</counts>
		</article-meta>
	</front>
	<body>
		<sec sec-type="intro">
			<title>1. Introduction</title>
			<p>Given the context of financial constraints, which is the greater limitation of certain companies` access to credit in comparison to others, authors such as <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello, Graham and Harvey (2010</xref>), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin, Ozbas and Sensoy (2010</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Driver and Muñoz-Bugarin (2019</xref>) proposed the study of how crises, usually characterized by shocks in credit, impact factors such as corporate investments and financing, showing distinct effects on constrained and unconstrained companies. In this context, examining the Brazilian context through the lens of the aformentioned studies, two financial crises occurred in Brazil recently. These are the subprime crisis of 2008 and the economic crisis of 2015, which led to the following questioning: <italic>Were there significant impacts from the 2008 and 2015 financial crises on investments and financing of constrained and unconstrained Brazilian companies?</italic></p>
			<p>The approach of this study refers, in essence, to the existence of informational asymmetries, in which some economic agents have more information than others. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Fazzari, Hubbard and Petersen (1988</xref>), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Calomiris and Hubbard (1990</xref>) and Hubbard (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">1998</xref>), among other authors, raised arguments that companies do not have a common resource supply curve, so some have easier access to credit compared to others, leading to the context of financial constraints, where the supply of resources is different for companies - companies may be more or less constrained to credit.</p>
			<p>In times of financial crisis, problems arising from informational asymmetries are intensified, undermining the channeling of resources to holders of the best investment opportunities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Mishkin, 1992</xref>). Mainly with the subprime crisis of 2008, evidence pointed out that, with the negative credit supply shock, its effects were different among companies. In these cases, on the one hand, for authors like <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al. (2010</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al. (2010</xref>), the crisis proved to impact investments of financially constrained companies more sharply compared to unconstrained firms, since constrained access to resources tends to be intensified in credit contraction periods, mainly to constrained firms. On the other hand, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Driver and Muñoz-Bugarin (2019</xref>) pointed out that the financial crisis mainly impacted larger (less constrained) companies, that became more sensitive to financial constraints in times of crisis.</p>
			<p>With regard to the impacts of crises on financing, authors such as <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar, Rehman and Ormrod(2013</xref>) argue that mainly constrained companies experience greater negative impacts on their financing in times of negative credit supply shocks, as access to resources becomes more difficult. As for the impacts of crises on the maturity of debt, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula, Oreiro and Basilio (2013</xref>) pointed out that as constrained companies typically rely more on bank loans, with lower maturity, these companies tend to go through an increase in the proportion of short-term debt in relation to long-term debt crises, since banks tend to seek to reduce risks and end up shortening the maturity of their loans. On the other hand, Akbar et al.(<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2013</xref>) noted that short-term debt tends to be reduced in times of crisis, impacted by falling credit supply. </p>
			<p>According to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Ivashina and Scharfstein (2010</xref>), the 2008 crisis was triggered in the United States by the credit boom and consequent bank panic, along with the collapse of subprime mortgages. The Brazilian crisis of 2015 involved, among other factors, political instability, rising inflation and interest rates, and falling GDP. For example, in the fourth quarter of 2015, GDP fell by almost 6 percentage points against the same period of 2014, indicating its worst performance since the last two decades, according to Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) data. Given the proportions of the crisis, whose effects were very evident in the economy, compared to the 2008 crisis, which began in another country, questions arise and should be answered by the research question raised at the beginning of this paper, whose main objective is to investigate the impacts of the 2008 and 2015 financial crises on investments and financing of constrained and unconstrained Brazilian companies. For this purpose, we use the panel data analysis method, using the rating criterion to classify companies into constrained and unconstrained, so companies that had a rating by risk agencies (Standard &amp; Poor’s, Moody’s and/or Fitch) in both crises were considered unconstrained, while the absence of rating led to the classification of constrained.</p>
			<p>The results showed that constrained and unconstrained companies were impacted in different ways, both in the 2008 and 2015 crises. We obtained evidence that only the 2015 crisis had a negative impact on corporate investments, with this impact being greatest on constrained firms. Analyzing the impact of crises on leverage, there is evidence that the 2008 crisis had a major negative impact on constrained firms, accompanied by an increase in the proportion of short-term debt mainly to these companies.</p>
		</sec>
		<sec>
			<title>2.Literature Review</title>
			<sec>
				<title>2.1.Imperfect Markets, Information Asymmetry and Financial Constrains</title>
				<p>Discussions on investment and financing extend from the seminal work of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Modigliani and Miller (1958</xref>), whose idea is that, assuming perfect markets, investments are independent of financial characteristics such as liquidity, leverage or dividend payments. Subsequently, the development of new theories and models led to the questioning of Modigliani and Miller's (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">1958</xref>) position. At the same time, market imperfections were considered as factors that could interfere with corporate decisions. These imperfections, or financial frictions, are linked to the existence of information asymmetries.</p>
				<p>In the credit rationing literature regarding information asymmetries, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Jaffee and Russell (1976</xref>) pointed out that credit rationing emerges as a market response to adverse selection, where lenders are unable to distinguish honest borrowers, who pay debts, and the dishonest, who do not pay debts whenever default costs are low. Whereas in Jaffee and Russell (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">1976</xref>) credit is rationed to the extent that borrowers receive less than desired loans, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Stiglitz and Weiss (1981</xref>) explored the idea that not all businesses that need credit are able to do so. </p>
				<p>Facing sustained approaches to informational asymmetry theories, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Fazzari and Athey (1987</xref>) pointed out that, if the firm has sufficient operating cash flow to finance its investments, they may end up avoiding the foreign capital market, where credit rationing may exist. The connections between informational asymmetry, financial constraints, and investments, proposed by Fazzari and Athey (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">1987</xref>), were the precursor to the seminal contributions by Fazzari et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">1988</xref>) in the field of financial constraints involving the financing of corporate investments.</p>
				<p>
					<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Fazzari et al. (1988</xref>), when studying the influence of financial characteristics on corporate investments, argued that, unlike perfect markets, market imperfections exist, making external resources and internal business resources into imperfect substitutes. This idea arises from differences in the costs of such financing, which occur due to the presence of informational asymmetries. In other words, the costs of external financing are higher, i.e., the costs of issuing new debt and equity differ from the opportunity cost of financing generated by cash flows and retained earnings, as they involve, among other factors, transaction costs and asymmetric information.</p>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>2.2. Financial Crises, Investments and Financing</title>
				<p>Exploring the impacts of resource friction on capital structure decisions, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) argued that the expected response to loan shocks depends on firms’ access to different segments of the capital markets. Thus, when faced with a contraction in lending, companies without access to public debt markets would need to find alternative sources to avoid capital constraints, including, for example, internal resources. This substitution would result in lower (higher) leverage following a contraction (expansion) in the loan offer. </p>
				<p>In turn, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Lemmon and Roberts (2010</xref>) analyzed how shocks in the supply of credit not only affect the financing of companies, but also investment. The evidence by Lemmon and Roberts (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2010</xref>) pointed out that the substitution between bank debt and alternative sources of capital, such as cash balances, was limited in times of credit supply shock, almost a one-on-one decline in net investment with a decline in net debt issues. </p>
				<p>In order to investigate and compare the investment plans, financial policies, and corporate spending of constrained and unconstrained firms during the 2008 crisis, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al. (2010</xref>) interviewed CFOs from companies in various countries. The results indicated that constrained firms planned larger investment cuts compared to unconstrained firms, and the 2008 financial crisis did not affect the cash level of unconstrained firms. Further, the evidence is consistent with the view that constrained firms build cash reserves as a way to prepare against potential credit supply shocks.</p>
				<p>Interested in the effects of credit supply during the 2008 crisis, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al. (2010</xref>) stressed that negative shocks in the supply of external financing, coupled with the presence of financial frictions, can hinder investments if firms have no financial slack, with these effects being particularly severe on firms that face higher costs to raise external resources. In this sense, when investigating the relationship between financial constraints, cash reserves, and investments, before and after the crisis, the results showed that investments fell for both firms with and without financial constraint after the crisis, although the decline was greater for constrained firms. Moreover, cash withholdings are cited as a precaution when credit is lower and companies are constrained.</p>
				<p>Focusing on the impact of credit supply shocks during the 2008 crisis on UK private investment and financing, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>) explain that these companies are characterized by high information asymmetry and face higher external financing costs, and may worsen in times of economic downturn. Thus, these companies are naturally more constrained and tend to prefer, in times of slowdown, internal financing.</p>
				<p>That said, the authors analyzed how private companies minimized the effects of bank credit contraction through alternative sources of financing such as domestic resources and issuance of shares. Evidence showed that, for these companies, short-term financing was most affected by the 2008 financial crisis, as they issued more shares and retained more cash as a precaution. In addition, the inability of private companies to obtain external credit caused them to cut their investments.</p>
				<p>On the other hand, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Driver and Muñoz-Bugarin (2019</xref>) investigated the effects of financial constraints on investments by UK companies, considering the size of the companies, seeking to reflect the effects of the 2008 crisis. The authors obtained evidence that the effects of credit constraints on large and small companies were different during the crisis, and for larger (less constrained), the disadvantages were greater. Larger firms’ sensitivity to financial constraints emerged during the crisis period, while, for smaller companies, the effect was perennial and did not increase during the crisis.</p>
				<p>In Brazil, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Oliveira and Cunha (2012</xref>) pointed out that companies with greater financial constraints rely more on their own resources than less constrained ones. Regarding the supply of resources during times of financial crisis, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al. (2013</xref>) analyzed the evolution of the credit market in Brazil, emphasizing the role of public banks, especially that of Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social(BNDES), during periods of financial instability and credit contraction. The authors observed the expansion of companies’ productive capacity and investment decisions from mid-2007, increasing demand for corporate credit, served by the retail banking sector (working capital) and BNDES, with long-term financing.</p>
				<p>Given the discussions that constrained firms investments are more affected by crises compared to unconstrained company investments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al.,2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.,2010</xref>), and especially the constrained firms, which supposedly face greater difficulties in accessing external credit, rely more on cash to mitigate the effects of credit shocks and finance their investments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al<italic>.</italic>,2010</xref>). We raise the following hypotheses to be tested in this study:</p>
				<p>H<sub>1</sub>: Financial crises impact the investment of constrained firms more strictly than unconstrained firms; </p>
				<p>H<sub>2</sub>: The relationship between investments and cash in crisis is more relevant for constrained firms than for unconstrained firms.</p>
				<p>Concerning the impacts of crises on corporate financing, authors such as <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al. (2013</xref>) mention that the leverage of narrower firms would be more negatively impacted by negative credit supply shocks. Moreover, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al. (2013</xref>) argue that, in economically unstable periods, the trend is for banks to seek to reduce their risk by shortening the maturity of their loans and the reduction of longer-term credit supply, riskier than short-term credit supply, which would have a greater impact on short-term debt, especially from unconstrained firms.</p>
				<p>That said, we raise the following hypotheses:</p>
				<p>H<sub>3</sub>: Financial crises have more significant negative effects on the leverage of constrained firms compared to unconstrained firms; </p>
				<p>H<sub>4</sub>: Crises cause an increase in the proportion of the short-term debt of constrained firms more sharply than that of unconstrained firms.</p>
			</sec>
		</sec>
		<sec sec-type="methods">
			<title>3.Research Method</title>
			<p>To meet the objective of the present study, we considered two moments of crisis in Brazil: the subprime crisis of 2008 and the Brazilian financial and political crisis of 2014, 2015 and 2016 (called the crisis of 2015 in this paper), times of slowdown (such as the crisis of 2008) and even contraction in the supply of resources for companies (such as the crisis of 2015), as shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">Figure 1</xref>. </p>
			<p>
				<fig id="f1">
					<label>Figure 1.</label>
					<caption>
						<title>Quarterly average variation of corporate credit balance in Brazil. </title>
					</caption>
					<graphic xlink:href="1808-2386-bbr-17-02-233-gf1.jpg"/>
					<attrib>Source: Self elaboration based on information from the Central Bank of Brazil (www.bcb.gov.br)</attrib>
				</fig>
			</p>
            <p>Starting mainly from the variations in the credit supply to determine the crisis quarters investigated in this study, the 2008 crisis involves the period between the fourth quarter of 2008, considered the milestone of the subprime crisis with the fall of Lehman Brothers, cited as the beginning of the crisis by CODACE (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Business Cycle Dating Committee</xref>), and the second quarter of 2009, given the slowdown in credit levels Brazil over that period, as shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">Figure 1</xref>. The crisis of 2015 comprises the period between the second quarter of 2014, considered the initial milestone of the crisis by CODACE, and the third quarter of 2016, which captured the steep decrease in economic activity in Brazil in this period along with the credit balance contraction, from then on, as seen in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">Figure 1</xref>. </p>
			<sec>
				<title>3.1. Data and Sample</title>
				<p>The data from this study was collected in the Economatica® software, quarterly, between the first quarter of 2007 and the third quarter of 2016. </p>
				<p>Initially, companies with no required quarterly information were excluded, as well as companies whose capital stock was less than 10 million BRL, in 2007 values, at the beginning of the period, to eliminate very small firms, as we find in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al. (2010</xref>). The final overall investment model sample is composed of 203 publicly traded non-financial Brazilian companies, actively registered with the Securities Commission (CVM) in 2016. In turn, the general sample of the financing model is composed of 192 companies, respecting the same characteristics mentioned above. </p>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>3.2. Financial Constrains Measures</title>
				<p>To analyze the impacts of financial crises on investment and financing decisions of segregated Brazilian companies, according to their financial constraint, we use the criteria of the existence or non-existence of ratings for the separation of firms, whose advantage is evaluating the indication of the market, by an external agent, as for the credit quality. </p>
				<p>Just as in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.(2010</xref>), in this study the financial constraint of firms was determined based on observations from the years prior to the 2008 and 2015 crises, avoiding selection problems endogenous to company decisions. Therefore, for the classification of financial constraints for companies, we adopted information from 2007 (year immediately prior to the 2008 crisis) and 2013 (years immediately preceding the crisis of 2014/2015/2016). </p>
				<p>The existence or otherwise of a rating was used by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Lemmon and Roberts (2010</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al. (2010</xref>). The argument is that companies without ratings by a risk assessment agency, such as Standard &amp; Poor’s (S&amp;P), Moody’s and Fitch, have a greater financial constraint than firms whose debt was valued, as the assessment indicates the credit quality of these companies, minimizing informational asymmetries. </p>
				<p>For the classification of the companies, the rating data of the companies was collected from the “Rating of Listed and Closed Companies” 1994-2017” made available on Professor Tatiana Albanez’s <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Finance Research Portal</xref>. From this data, we listed companies that were rated by at least one of the risk agencies in both 2007 and 2013. Companies that necessarily had a rating in both 2007 and 2013, were classified as unconstrained. The other firms -both unrated companies in both years and companies rated in only one year - were classified as constrained.</p>
				<p>It is worth mentioning that, in addition to the criterion of whether or not a rating was in play, additional analyzes were performed classifying the companies by their investment grade (non-investment grade and investment grade). This information is also found in the previously mentioned database. In this case, comparisons were made between investment grade firms and non-investment grade firms with no rating - the last two groups were analyzed together. The results using both criteria led to the same conclusions. Additionally, we made estimates by fixed double effect panel, also leading to the same conclusions. Supplementary material containing the robustness tests mentioned can be found in the Figshare scientific repository or can be provided by the authors. </p>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>3.3. Dependent Variables</title>
				<p>The dependent variable for the study of the impact of crises on investments is represented by the following indicator, based on <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al. (2010</xref>):</p>
				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e1">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e1.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m1" display="block">
		<mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math>
	</alternatives>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
				<p>where Invest: Investment; CAPEX: Capital expenditures, involving net acquisitions of property, plant and equipment, quarterly; TA: Total Assets. </p>
				<p>The dependent variables for the study of the impact of crises on financing are as follows:</p>
			<p>
	<disp-formula id="e2">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e2.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m2" display="block">
		<mml:mtable><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math>
	</alternatives>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
				<p>where Lever: Leverage; Total Debt: sum between short and long term debt; TA: Total Assets; DebtST: Short Term Debts. The leverage variable was built based on <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Lemmon and Roberts (2010</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al. (2013</xref>).</p>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>3.4. Independent Variables</title>
				<p>The main independent variables in this paper are the crises, specifically the crises of 2008 and 2015. Crisis variables are represented by dummies in the models, with a value of 1 for quarters during crisis (between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the second quarter of 2009 and between the second quarter of 2014 and the third quarter of 2016) and zero for the other quarters between 2007 and 2016.</p>
				<p>a) Investments</p>
				<p>In the literature studying the impacts of crises on corporate investments, there is evidence that crises adversely affect corporate investments. However, these effects may differ between companies: impacts may be stronger on constrained firms, as the credit constraint for these firms is further intensified in periods of credit contraction (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al<italic>.</italic>, 2010</xref>).</p>
				<p>Still, in the financial constraint and investment literature, it is common to include the variable Cash, representing the internal resources to the companies. In this sense, we added this variable as an independent variable in the investment model, calculated as the ratio of cash to total assets over a period. For constrained firms, the relationship between investments and cash in the crisis is expected to be positive and stronger compared to unconstrained firms. The argument is that, for constrained firms, cash would mitigate the effects of the credit supply shock, linked to the impact on investments. </p>
				<p>b) Financing</p>
				<p>Regarding impacts on leverage, there is evidence that crises negatively impact the leverage of constrained firms, while unconstrained firms are not as impacted (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al., 2013</xref>). The argument is that access to resources by firms with greater financial constraints in times of negative credit supply shocks becomes even more difficult. </p>
				<p>Regarding the impact of crises on the participation of short and long term debt in relation to total debt, there are ambiguous relationships pointed out by the literature: positive, with the argument that banks seek to mitigate risk and reduce the maturity of their loans and financing, thus increasing the proportion of short-term debt (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al., 2013</xref>), or negative, on the grounds that the short-term debt tends to be reduced in times of crisis, impacted by the drop in bank credit supply, mainly from constrained firms, whose debts are mostly from bank resources due to limited access to alternative sources (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Bremus, 2015</xref>).</p>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>3.5. Control Variables</title>
				<p>a) Investments</p>
				<p>In the investment model, the proxy used to control investment opportunities (or growth opportunities) is defined by the Market-to-Book variable (asset at market value by asset at book value). We expect a positive relationship between investment opportunities and investments, so the greater the investment opportunities, the greater the investments for both constrained firms and unconstrained firms.</p>
				<p>b) Financing</p>
				<p>In the financing model, as well as in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>), we use control variables commonly used in capital structure literature in order to control the companies’ demand for financing. These variables were added according to arguments by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Rajan and Zingales (1995</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Frank and Goyal (2009</xref>), with variables being profitability, tangibility, size and growth opportunities.</p>
				<p>The profitability variable was calculated by the ratio between EBITDA and total assets, and the expected ratio is ambiguous: a negative relationship indicates corporate preference for domestic financing over debt and a positive relationship indicates that resource providers would prefer to lend to more profitable companies. </p>
				<p>The tangibility variable was calculated as the ratio of fixed assets to total assets, and the ambiguous relationship between tangibility and leverage was expected: a positive relationship indicates the role of collateral in minimizing agency costs and a negative one indicates lower share issuance costs.</p>
				<p>Size, in turn, was calculated based on the natural logarithm of corporate assets, expecting an ambiguous relationship between size and leverage: positive relationship indicates that larger companies tend to be more diverse and less likely to go bankrupt, and negative indicates investor preference for stocks due to access to information from larger companies.</p>
				<p>Finally, as in the investment model, growth opportunities were measured by the market-to-book index, with a negative relationship being expected, as companies with future growth prospects would use a larger share of equity financing.</p>
				<p>
					<xref ref-type="table" rid="t1">Table 1</xref> shows the construction of investment and financing model variables:</p>
				<p>
					<table-wrap id="t1">
						<label>Table 1. </label>
						<caption>
							<title><italic>Construction of Variables</italic></title>
						</caption>
						<alternatives>
							<graphic xlink:href="t1.jpg"/>
						<table>
							<colgroup>
								<col span="3"/>
							</colgroup>
							<thead>
								<tr>
									<th align="center" colspan="3">Investments </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="left">Variables</th>
									<th align="left">Acronym</th>
									<th align="left"><italic>Proxy</italic></th>
								</tr>
								
							</thead>
							<tbody>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Dependent Variables</italic></td>
                                </tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Investment</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Invest</italic></td>
									<td align="left">CAPEX/Total Assets</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Independent Variables</italic> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Crisis</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Crisis 2008 Crisis 2015</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Dummy 1 for Crisis and 0 for other periods</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Cash</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Cash</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Cash and cash equivalent/Total Assets</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Crisis*Cash</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Crisis*Cash</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Crisis*(Cash and cash equivalent/Total Assets)</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Control Variable</italic></td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Investment Opportunities</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>M/B</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Assets at Market Value/Assets at book value</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center" colspan="3">Financing</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Variables</td>
									<td align="left">Acronym</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Proxy</italic></td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Dependent Variables</italic></td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Leverage</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Lever</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Total Debts /Total Assets</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Short Term Debts</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>DebtST</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Debt ST/Total Debt</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Independent Variables</italic></td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Crisis</td>
									<td align="left">Crisis <italic>2008</italic> Crisis <italic>2015</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Dummy 1 for Crisis and 0 for other periods</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" colspan="3">Control Variable </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Profitability</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Profit.</italic></td>
									<td align="left">EBITDA/Total Assets</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Tangibility</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Tangib</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Fixed assets /Total Assets</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Size</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>Size</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Ln Assets</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center">Growth Opportunities</td>
									<td align="left"><italic>M/B</italic></td>
									<td align="left">Assets at Market Value/Assets at book value</td>
								</tr>
							</tbody>
						</table>
					</alternatives>
					</table-wrap>
				</p>
				<p>The general forms of Investment models (Invest) and Financing (Fin) to be studied are presented below for each company <italic>i</italic> in each quarter <italic>t:</italic></p>
				
				
				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e3">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e3.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m3" display="block">
	<mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mfenced separators="|"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:math>
</alternatives>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e4">
		<alternatives>
		 <graphic xlink:href="e4.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m4" display="block">
	<mml:mtable><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:maligngroup/><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:maligngroup/><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:maligngroup/><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>F</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math>
</alternatives>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
				
				
				<p>The models of the study of the impacts of crises on corporate investments are as follows:</p>
				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e5">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e5.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m5" display="block">
	<mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math>
</alternatives>
		<label>(1)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e6">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e6.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m6" display="block">
	<mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math>
</alternatives>
		<label>(2)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
				<p>where <italic>Invest</italic> represents the Investments, <italic>Crisis</italic> is the crisis dummy, <italic>Crisis*Cons</italic>, <italic>Crisis2008*Cons</italic> and <italic>Crisis2015*Cons</italic> represent dummies from the 2008 and 2015 crisis for the constrained firms dummy. The variables of each crisis and the financial constraint dummy were interacted with the cash (in t-1). <italic>M/B</italic> represents the investment opportunities in the period t. As for the study of models of financing of firms on crisis impacts are as follows:</p>
				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e7">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e7.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m7" display="block">
	<mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
</alternatives>
		<label>(3)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>

			<p>
	<disp-formula id="e8">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e8.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m8" display="block">
	<mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
</alternatives>
		<label>(4)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
<p>
	<disp-formula id="e9">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e9.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m9" display="block">
<mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
</alternatives>
	<label>(5)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>

				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e10">
		<alternatives>
			<graphic xlink:href="e10.jpg"/>
		<mml:math id="m10" display="block">
<mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
</alternatives>
		<label>(6)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>

				<p>where Lever represents leverage, <italic>DebtST</italic> represents the proportion of short-term debt, <italic>Crisis</italic> is the crisis dummy, <italic>Crisis*Cons</italic>, <italic>Crisis2008*Cons</italic> and <italic>Crisis2015*Cons</italic> represent dummies from the 2008 and 2015 crisis for the constrained firms dummy, <italic>Profit</italic> is profitability, <italic>Tangib</italic> is tangibility, <italic>Size</italic> is size and <italic>M/B</italic> represents growth opportunities (all variables in period t).</p>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>3.6. Analysis Techniques</title>
				<p>We adopted descriptive analysis and panel data analysis as our methodological tools. In the models, dummies were included for the constrained group of firms, and unconstrained firms were taken as the basis for the regression model, as adopted by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Aldrighi and Bisinha (2010</xref>). In other words, the companies included in the regression showed their differential in relation to unconstrained firms, which are those that were unconstrained in the 2008 crisis that remained unconstrained in the 2015 crisis. </p>
				<p>To ensure more consistent estimators, this study used the fixed effects estimation method, just as it was in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al<italic>.</italic>(2010</xref>), with estimations with robust standard errors grouped by firm being made. </p>
			</sec>
		</sec>
		<sec sec-type="results">
			<title>4.Results Analysis</title>
			<p>
				<xref ref-type="table" rid="t2">Table 2</xref> presents the descriptive statistics of the investment model:</p>
			<p>
				<table-wrap id="t2">
					<label>Table 2. </label>
					<caption>
						<title><italic>Descriptive Statistics of Investment</italic></title>
					</caption>
					<alternatives>
							<graphic xlink:href="t2.jpg"/>
					<table>
						<colgroup>
							<col span="5"/>
						</colgroup>
						<thead>
							<tr>
								<th align="center" colspan="5">Investments </th>
							</tr>
							<tr>
                                	<th align="left"> </th>
									<th align="left"> </th>
								<th align="center" colspan="3">Variables</th>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<th align="left"> </th>
								<th align="center"> </th>
								<th align="center">Investment</th>
								<th align="center">Cash</th>
								<th align="center">M/B</th>
							</tr>
						</thead>
						<tbody>
                            <tr>
								<td align="left" rowspan="5">All Firms</td>
								<td align="left">Nº of Obs.</td>
								<td align="center">6097</td>
								<td align="center">6097</td>
								<td align="center">6097</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Mean</td>
								<td align="center">0.016</td>
								<td align="center">0.098</td>
								<td align="center">0.820</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Standard Deviation</td>
								<td align="center">0.037</td>
								<td align="center">0.112</td>
								<td align="center">0.918</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Min.</td>
								<td align="center">-0.734</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.003</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Max.</td>
								<td align="center">0.866</td>
								<td align="center">0.889</td>
								<td align="center">8.977</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left" rowspan="5">Constrained Firms</td>
								<td align="left">Nº of Obs.</td>
								<td align="center">4259</td>
								<td align="center">4259</td>
								<td align="center">4259</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Mean</td>
								<td align="center">0.014</td>
								<td align="center">0.098</td>
								<td align="center">0.857</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Standard Deviation</td>
								<td align="center">0.038</td>
								<td align="center">0.121</td>
								<td align="center">1.002</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Min.</td>
								<td align="center">-0.558</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.003</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Max.</td>
								<td align="center">0.866</td>
								<td align="center">0.889</td>
								<td align="center">8.977</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left" rowspan="5">Unconstrained Firms</td>
								<td align="left">Nº of Obs.</td>
								<td align="center">1838</td>
								<td align="center">1838</td>
								<td align="center">1838</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Mean</td>
								<td align="center">0.019</td>
								<td align="center">0.099</td>
								<td align="center">0.733</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Standard Deviation</td>
								<td align="center">0.034</td>
								<td align="center">0.089</td>
								<td align="center">0.677</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Min.</td>
								<td align="center">-0.734</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.007</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Max.</td>
								<td align="center">0.479</td>
								<td align="center">0.707</td>
								<td align="center">5.361</td>
							</tr>
						</tbody>
					</table>
				</alternatives>
					<table-wrap-foot>
						<fn id="TFN1">
							<p><italic>Notes.</italic> Sample of 203 firms; investment: CAPEX divided by total assets; cash: cash and cash equivalents divided by total assets; M/B: investment opportunities calculated by the market-to-book index <italic>-</italic> asset at market value divided by asset at book value; nº of obs: number of observations; min.: minimum; max.: maximum.</p>
						</fn>
					</table-wrap-foot>
				</table-wrap>
			</p>
			<p>Analyzing all companies, the quarterly average investment is 1.6%. When analyzing the samples of constrained and unconstrained companies, we observed that the average investment of unconstrained firms (1.9%) is larger than constrained firms (1.4%). We also note that the cash levels of the constrained and unconstrained companies are not considerably different, 9.8% and 9.9%, respectively. Regarding investment opportunities, as represented by the market-to-book, constrained firms presented higher means than unconstrained firms.</p>
			<p>
				<xref ref-type="table" rid="t3">Table 3</xref> refers to the descriptive statistics on financing. </p>
			<p>
				<table-wrap id="t3">
					<label>Table 3.</label>
					<caption>
						<title><italic>Descriptive Statistics of Financing</italic></title>
					</caption>
					<alternatives>
							<graphic xlink:href="t3.jpg"/>
					<table>
						<colgroup>
							<col span="9"/>
						</colgroup>
						<thead>
							<tr>
								<th align="center" colspan="9">Financing </th>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<th align="left"> </th>
								<th align="left"> </th>
								<th align="center" colspan="7">Variables </th>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<th align="left"> </th>
								<th align="center"> </th>
								<th align="center">Lever</th>
								<th align="center">DebtST</th>
								<th align="center">DebtLT</th>
								<th align="center">Profit</th>
								<th align="center">Tangib</th>
								<th align="center">Size</th>
								<th align="center">M/B</th>
							</tr>
						</thead>
						<tbody>
                            <tr>
								<td align="left" rowspan="5">All Firms</td>
								<td align="left">Nº of Obs.</td>
								<td align="center">5726</td>
								<td align="center">5726</td>
								<td align="center">5726</td>
								<td align="center">5726</td>
								<td align="center">5726</td>
								<td align="center">5726</td>
								<td align="center">5726</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Mean</td>
								<td align="center">0.308</td>
								<td align="center">0.379</td>
								<td align="center">0.621</td>
								<td align="center">0.025</td>
								<td align="center">0.278</td>
								<td align="center">14.916</td>
								<td align="center">0.765</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Standard Deviation</td>
								<td align="center">0.169</td>
								<td align="center">0.260</td>
								<td align="center">0.260</td>
								<td align="center">0.044</td>
								<td align="center">0.225</td>
								<td align="center">1.742</td>
								<td align="center">0.819</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Min.</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">-0.863</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">8.835</td>
								<td align="center">0.002</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Max.</td>
								<td align="center">0.982</td>
								<td align="center">1.000</td>
								<td align="center">1.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.851</td>
								<td align="center">0.912</td>
								<td align="center">20.652</td>
								<td align="center">7.958</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left" rowspan="5">Constrained Firms</td>
								<td align="left">Nº of Obs.</td>
								<td align="center">3882</td>
								<td align="center">3882</td>
								<td align="center">3882</td>
								<td align="center">3882</td>
								<td align="center">3882</td>
								<td align="center">3882</td>
								<td align="center">3882</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Mean</td>
								<td align="center">0.286</td>
								<td align="center">0.454</td>
								<td align="center">0.546</td>
								<td align="center">0.023</td>
								<td align="center">0.271</td>
								<td align="center">14.181</td>
								<td align="center">0.784</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Standard Deviation</td>
								<td align="center">0.177</td>
								<td align="center">0.271</td>
								<td align="center">0.271</td>
								<td align="center">0.050</td>
								<td align="center">0.211</td>
								<td align="center">1.440</td>
								<td align="center">0.887</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Min.</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">-0.863</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">8.835</td>
								<td align="center">0.002</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Max.</td>
								<td align="center">0.982</td>
								<td align="center">1.000</td>
								<td align="center">1.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.851</td>
								<td align="center">0.912</td>
								<td align="center">18.155</td>
								<td align="center">7.958</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left" rowspan="5">Unconstrained Firms</td>
								<td align="left">Nº of Obs.</td>
								<td align="center">1844</td>
								<td align="center">1844</td>
								<td align="center">1844</td>
								<td align="center">1844</td>
								<td align="center">1844</td>
								<td align="center">1844</td>
								<td align="center">1844</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Mean</td>
								<td align="center">0.354</td>
								<td align="center">0.221</td>
								<td align="center">0.779</td>
								<td align="center">0.029</td>
								<td align="center">0.294</td>
								<td align="center">16.462</td>
								<td align="center">0.724</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Standard Deviation</td>
								<td align="center">0.139</td>
								<td align="center">0.139</td>
								<td align="center">0.139</td>
								<td align="center">0.028</td>
								<td align="center">0.251</td>
								<td align="center">1.238</td>
								<td align="center">0.651</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Min.</td>
								<td align="center">0.034</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">-0.580</td>
								<td align="center">0.000</td>
								<td align="center">13.376</td>
								<td align="center">0.007</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Max.</td>
								<td align="center">0.897</td>
								<td align="center">1.000</td>
								<td align="center">1.000</td>
								<td align="center">0.214</td>
								<td align="center">0.909</td>
								<td align="center">20.652</td>
								<td align="center">5.361</td>
							</tr>
						</tbody>
					</table>
				</alternatives>
					<table-wrap-foot>
						<fn id="TFN2">
							<p><italic>Notes.</italic> 192 firms sample; leverage: total debt divided by total assets; DebtST: short term debt - ratio of short-term debt to total debt; DebtLT: long-term debt - ratio of long-term debt to total debt; profitability: relationship between EBITDA and total assets; tangibility: relationship between fixed assets and total assets; size: natural log of total assets; M/B: investment opportunities calculated by the market-to-book index at market value divided by assets at book value; nº of obs: number of observations; min.: minimum; max.: maximum.</p>
						</fn>
					</table-wrap-foot>
				</table-wrap>
			</p>
			<p>The 192 companies in the sample that made up the financing analysis have a leverage mean of 30.8%. We noted that unconstrained firms are on average more indebted than constrained firms. These numbers may reflect the argument of easier access to loans and financing by unconstrained firms compared to constrained firms.</p>
			<p>Moreover, constrained firms had a higher proportion of short-term debt than long-term debt when compared to unconstrained firms. According to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>), smaller companies, considered more constrained, rely more on short-term debt, usually bank credits, due to risk aversion by banks. Additionally, constrained firms have lower profitability, tangibility, and size, as well as a higher market-to-book.</p>
			<p>
				<xref ref-type="table" rid="t4">Table 4</xref> shows the evolution of the main variables of this study, analyzing the behavior of companies segregated into constrained and unconstrained before the 2008 crisis, in the 2008 crisis, between the 2008 and 2015 crises, and in the 2015 crisis. To analyze whether the differences in means are statistically significant, the mean differences test (t-test) was applied.</p>
			<p>
				<table-wrap id="t4">
					<label>Table 4.</label>
					<caption>
						<title><italic>Share of Variables by Period</italic></title>
					</caption>
					<alternatives>
							<graphic xlink:href="t4.jpg"/>
					<table>
						<colgroup>
							<col/>
							<col/>
							<col/>
							<col/>
							<col/>
							<col/>
						</colgroup>
						<thead>
							<tr>
								<th align="left"> </th>
								<th align="center">Investment</th>
								<th align="center">Cash</th>
								<th align="center">Leverage</th>
								<th align="center"> Debt ST</th>
								<th align="center"> Debt LT</th>
							</tr>
                            </thead>
                        <tbody>
							<tr>
								<td align="center" colspan="6">Constrained Firms </td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Before Crisis 2008</td>
								<td align="center">3.6%</td>
								<td align="center">19.3%</td>
								<td align="center">23.8%</td>
								<td align="center">45.2%</td>
								<td align="center">54.8%</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Crisis 2008</td>
								<td align="center">1.9%</td>
								<td align="center">13.0%</td>
								<td align="center">26.4%</td>
								<td align="center">50.0%</td>
								<td align="center">50.0%</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Between Crises</td>
								<td align="center">1.4%</td>
								<td align="center">9.5%</td>
								<td align="center">28.2%</td>
								<td align="center">44.8%</td>
								<td align="center">55.2%</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Crisis 2015</td>
								<td align="center">0.9%</td>
								<td align="center">7.3%</td>
								<td align="center">31.3%</td>
								<td align="center">45.9%</td>
								<td align="center">54.1%</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="center" colspan="6">Unconstrained Firms </td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Before Crisis 2008</td>
								<td align="center">3.3%</td>
								<td align="center">13.6%</td>
								<td align="center">31.1%</td>
								<td align="center">22.0%</td>
								<td align="center">78.0%</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Crisis 2008</td>
								<td align="center">2.1%</td>
								<td align="center">12.0%</td>
								<td align="center">35.7%</td>
								<td align="center">21.8%</td>
								<td align="center">78.2%</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Between Crises</td>
								<td align="center">1.7%</td>
								<td align="center">9.8%</td>
								<td align="center">35.2%</td>
								<td align="center">21.9%</td>
								<td align="center">78.1%</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Crisis 2015</td>
								<td align="center">1.5%</td>
								<td align="center">7.6%</td>
								<td align="center">37.6%</td>
								<td align="center">22.8%</td>
								<td align="center">77.2%</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">All period</td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left"><bold>Statistic <italic>t</italic>
</bold></td>
								<td align="center">-1.269</td>
								<td align="center">1.052</td>
								<td align="center">-11.243</td>
								<td align="center">44.324</td>
								<td align="center">-44.324</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Crisis 2008</td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left"><bold>Statistic <italic>t</italic>
</bold></td>
								<td align="center">-0.401</td>
								<td align="center">0.935</td>
								<td align="center">-11.761***</td>
								<td align="center">17.118***</td>
								<td align="center">-17.118***</td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left">Crisis 2015</td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
								<td align="center"> </td>
							</tr>
							<tr>
								<td align="left"><bold>Statistic <italic>t</italic>
</bold></td>
								<td align="center">-5.071</td>
								<td align="center">-1.279*</td>
								<td align="center">7.120</td>
								<td align="center">26.939</td>
								<td align="center">-26.939</td>
							</tr>
						</tbody>
					</table>
				</alternatives>
					<table-wrap-foot>
						<fn id="TFN3">
							<p><italic>Notes.</italic> Analysis of 203 (192) of sample of investment firms (financing).***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the levels of 1, 5 and 10%, respectively.</p>
						</fn>
					</table-wrap-foot>
				</table-wrap>
			</p>
			<p>There was a decrease in investments and cash in this period, from both constrained and unconstrained firms, however, there was a statistically significant difference in investments between groups of companies, while cash presented a statistically significant difference in means in the 2015 crisis. Regarding leverage, firms showed an increasing trajectory in all periods analyzed, showing significant difference between corporate leverage in the 2008 crisis. Regarding debt maturity, it is observable that the proportion of short-term debt to the total indebtedness of constrained firms is higher than that of unconstrained firms, considering that, as it is for leverage, there is a statistically significant difference in the 2008 crisis between firms. </p>
			<sec>
				<title>4.1. Statistical Results - Investments</title>
				<p>
					<xref ref-type="table" rid="t5">Table 5</xref> presents the statistical results of the impacts of crises on investments.</p>
				<p>
					<table-wrap id="t5">
						<label>Table 5.</label>
						<caption>
							<title><italic>Impact of Crises on Investments</italic></title>
						</caption>
						<alternatives>
							<graphic xlink:href="t5.jpg"/>
						<table>
							<colgroup>
								<col span="5"/>
							</colgroup>
							<thead>
								<tr>
									<th align="center" colspan="5">Dependent Variable: Invest = CAPEX/Total Assets </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
									<th align="center" colspan="2">Equation (1) </th>
									<th align="center" colspan="2">Equation (2) </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>p-val FE, RC</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>p-val FE, RC</italic></th>
								</tr>
							</thead>
							<tbody>
                                <tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis</td>
									<td align="center">-0.002</td>
									<td align="center">0.103</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis*Cons</td>
									<td align="center">-0.001</td>
									<td align="center">0.472</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2008</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.002</td>
									<td align="center">0.593</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2008*Cons</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">-0.002</td>
									<td align="center">0.581</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2015</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">-0.004</td>
									<td align="center">0.034</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2015*Cons</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">-0.005</td>
									<td align="center">0.064</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Cash</td>
									<td align="center">0.019</td>
									<td align="center">0.650</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Cash*Cons</td>
									<td align="center">0.045</td>
									<td align="center">0.34</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis2008*Cons*Cash </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.014</td>
									<td align="center">0.242</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis2015*Cons*Cash </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.036</td>
									<td align="center">0.005</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">M/B</td>
									<td align="center">0.003</td>
									<td align="center">0.128</td>
									<td align="center">0.004</td>
									<td align="center">0.083</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Constant</td>
									<td align="center">0.009</td>
									<td align="center">0.002</td>
									<td align="center">0.014</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Nº observations</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">6097</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">6097</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Nº companies</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">203</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">203</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; F</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² within</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.024</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.013</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² between</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.013</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.041</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² overall</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.015</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.017</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Estimation</td>
									<td align="center" colspan="2">Fixed Effects </td>
									<td align="center" colspan="2">Fixed Effects </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Breusch and Pagan</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chi2(1):</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">280.91</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">282.42</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; Chi2:</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chow</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Statistic F</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">3.11</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">2.96</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; F</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Hausman</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chi2(5):</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">37.55</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">12.15</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; Chi2:</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.096</td>
								</tr>
							</tbody>
						</table>
					</alternatives>
						<table-wrap-foot>
							<fn id="TFN4">
								<p><italic>Notes</italic>. Invest: CAPEX divided by total assets; crisis: 2008 and 2015 crisis dummies; cons: constrained firms; crisis*cons: interaction between crises and constrained firms; crisis 2008: <italic>dummy</italic> 1 between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the second quarter of 2009, and zero otherwise; crisis 2015: <italic>dummy</italic> 1 between the second quarter of 2014 and the third quarter of 2016, and zero otherwise; crisis2008*cons and crisis2015*cons: interaction between the crises of 2008 and 2015 and constrained firms; cash: cash and cash equivalents divided by total assets; cash*cons: interaction between cash and constrained firms; crisis2008*cons*cash and crisis2015*cons*cash: interaction between crises of 2008 and 2015, constrained firms and cash; M/B: market-to-book- asset at market value divided by asset at book value; coef.: coefficients; p-val FE, RC: coefficient significance level for fixed effects regression with clustered robust standard errors; nº observations: number of observations; Prob &gt; F: significance level of the model; Breusch and Pagan: p-value of the test LM of Breusch-Pagan; Chow: p-value of the test F Chow; Hausman: p-value of the Hausman’s test; R² within: coefficient of explanation of the effects of variation over time for a given individual; R² between: coefficient of explanation of the effects of variation between individuals; R² overall: coefficient of general explanation of the model.</p>
							</fn>
						</table-wrap-foot>
					</table-wrap>
				</p>
				<p>From the statistical results, we noted that the impact of the 2008 crisis on constrained firms was not statistically different from the impact on unconstrained firms, possibly due to the fact that it has its initiation in a country other than Brazil, and the companies were investing relatively more at that time, as shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="t4">table 4</xref>.</p>
				<p>The crisis of 2015 negatively and significantly affected the investments of companies in general (as can be seen the coefficients of the variable Crisis 2015), with the negative impact being even greater for constrained firms compared to unconstrained firms (reference group in regression). Major declines in the investments of constrained firms in times of crisis are in line with evidence in the literature (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al., 2010</xref>), as access to resources by these companies becomes even more difficult.</p>
				<p>Considering the importance of cash in mitigating the effects of crises on corporate investments, the relationship between cash and investments was significant, positive, and only statistically higher for constrained firms compared to unconstrained firms in the 2015 crisis. This result is consistent with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchinet al. (2010</xref>), who got evidence that the relationship between cash and investment in the crisis is stronger for constrained firms, following the precautionary idea of cash, since these companies would have access to external resources made difficult especially in times of crisis and would rely more on their internal resources.</p>
				<p>Thus, the results allow us to conclude that, at the same time as the 2015 crisis caused an observable fall in investments of constrained firms, the investments from these companies were more sensitive to cash at that time because of the greater difficulty in accessing external resources in crisis. </p>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>4.2. Statistical Results - Financing</title>
				<p>
					<xref ref-type="table" rid="t6">Table 6</xref> presents the results of the impact of crises on corporate leverage:</p>
				<p>
					<table-wrap id="t6">
						<label>Table 6.</label>
						<caption>
							<title><italic>Impact of Crises on Financing</italic></title>
						</caption>
						<alternatives>
							<graphic xlink:href="t6.jpg"/>
						<table>
							<colgroup>
								<col span="5"/>
							</colgroup>
							<thead>
								<tr>
									<th align="center" colspan="5">Dependent Variable: Lever = Total Debt/Total Asset </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
									<th align="center" colspan="2">Equation (3) </th>
									<th align="center" colspan="2">Equation (4) </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>p-val FE, RC</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>p-val FE, RC</italic></th>
								</tr>
							</thead>
							<tbody>
                                	<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis</td>
									<td align="center">0.006</td>
									<td align="center">0.566</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis*Cons</td>
									<td align="center">0.008</td>
									<td align="center">0.478</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2008</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.011</td>
									<td align="center">0.337</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2008*Cons</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">-0.026</td>
									<td align="center">0.078</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2015</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.006</td>
									<td align="center">0.644</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2015*Cons</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.015</td>
									<td align="center">0.299</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Profit</td>
									<td align="center">-0.139</td>
									<td align="center">0.031</td>
									<td align="center">-0.134</td>
									<td align="center">0.031</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Tangib</td>
									<td align="center">-0.015</td>
									<td align="center">0.615</td>
									<td align="center">-0.012</td>
									<td align="center">0.701</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Size</td>
									<td align="center">0.030</td>
									<td align="center">0.009</td>
									<td align="center">0.026</td>
									<td align="center">0.026</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">M/B</td>
									<td align="center">-0.047</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">-0.048</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Constant</td>
									<td align="center">-0.107</td>
									<td align="center">0.532</td>
									<td align="center">-0.035</td>
									<td align="center">0.836</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Nº of observations</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Nº of companies</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">192</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">192</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; F</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² within</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.140</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.146</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² between</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.040</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.041</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² overall</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.061</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.064</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Estimation</td>
									<td align="center" colspan="2">Fixed Effects </td>
									<td align="center" colspan="2">Fixed Effects </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Breusch and Pagan</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chi2(1):</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">44762.19</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">44974.68</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; Chi2:</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chow</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">F Statistics</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">96.17</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">96.77</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; F</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Hausman</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chi2(5):</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">50.56</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">14.67</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; Chi2:</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.066</td>
								</tr>
							</tbody>
						</table>
					</alternatives>
						<table-wrap-foot>
							<fn id="TFN5">
								<p><italic>Notes.</italic> Lever: leverage, - total debt divided by total assets; crisis: 2008 and 2015 crisis dummies; cons: constrained firms; crisis*cons: interaction between crises and restricted companies; crisis 2008: dummy 1 between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the second quarter of 2009, and zero otherwise; crisis 2015: dummy 1 between the second quarter of 2014 and the third quarter of 2016, and zero otherwise; crisis2008*cons and crisis2015*cons: interaction between the crises of 2008 and 2015 and constrained firms; profit: profitability- relationship between EBITDA and total assets; tangib: tangibility - relationship between fixed assets and total assets; size: size - natural log of total assets; M/B: market-to-book- asset at market value divided by asset at book value; coef.: coefficients; p-val FE, RC: coefficient significance level for fixed effects regression with clustered robust standard errors; nº of observations: number of observations; Prob &gt; F: significance level of the model; Breusch and Pagan: p-value of the LM testing by Breusch-Pagan; Chow: p-value if the Chow F test; Hausman: p-value of Hausman’s test; R² within: coefficient of explanation of the effects of variation over time for a given individual; R² between: coefficient of explanation of the effects of variation between individuals; R² overall: coefficient of general explanation of the model.</p>
							</fn>
						</table-wrap-foot>
					</table-wrap>
				</p>
				<p>The results showed that the 2008 crisis had a more negative and significant impact on the leverage of constrained firms in relation to unconstrained firms, in line with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>). The impacts of the 2015 crisis on leverage were not significantly different between constrained and unconstrained firms. </p>
				<p>The non-significant impacts of the 2015 crisis on corporate leverage raise some possibilities for interpretation. On the one hand, as shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">Figure 1</xref>, the supply of credit to Brazilian companies was considerably reduced in the 2015 crisis, which, following studies like <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>), would lead to an expected negative relationship between crises and leverage. On the other hand, at least two particularities could counteract this expected negative relationship with Brazilian companies: the countercyclical performance of BNDES and the increase in foreign currency debt. </p>
				<p>As observed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Sant'anna, Junior and Araujo (2009</xref>), in the crisis of 2008 the countercyclical performance of public banks, especially BNDES, offset the slowdown in private bank credit operations, avoiding further reductions in the volume of credit granted to firms. Additionally, according to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Oliveira and Cunha (2012</xref>), access to BNDES financing is easier for less financially constrained firms, which would explain the outcome of this study for the 2008 crisis. </p>
				<p>Furthermore, as disclosed by CEMEC (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2016</xref>), the indebtedness of publicly traded Brazilian companies increased between 2010 and 2016, evidencing the increase in the participation of foreign currency debts in the composition of total corporate indebtedness. In this context, in times of crisis, whose exchange rate tends to increase, it is expected that the balance of foreign currency debt will become even larger. Therefore, it is possible to hypothesize that the absence of significant effects of crises on corporate leverage can be explained by the combination of compensatory factors, such as the drop in credit supply on the one hand and, on the other, the effects of countercyclical performance of public banks and the increase in foreign currency debt.</p>
				<p>Analyzing the control variables profitability, tangibility, size, and market-to-book, we observed a negative sign for the profitability and market-to-book variables and a positive sign for the size variable, with tangibility being the only non-significant variable to explain firms’ leverage. </p>
				<p>On the impacts of crises on the proportion of short-term debt, <xref ref-type="table" rid="t7">Table 7</xref> shows their results:</p>
				<p>
					<table-wrap id="t7">
						<label>Table 7.</label>
						<caption>
							<title><italic>Impact of Short-Term Debt Crises</italic></title>
						</caption>
						<alternatives>
							<graphic xlink:href="t7.jpg"/>
						<table>
							<colgroup>
								<col span="5"/>
							</colgroup>
							<thead>
								<tr>
									<th align="center" colspan="5">Dependent Variable: DebtST - Debt ST /Total Debt </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
									<th align="center" colspan="2">Equation (5) </th>
									<th align="center" colspan="2">Equation (6) </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>p-val FE, RC</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
									<th align="center"><italic>p-val FE, RC</italic></th>
								</tr>
							</thead>
							<tbody>
                                <tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis</td>
									<td align="center">0.029</td>
									<td align="center">0.007</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis*Cons</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.983</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2008</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">-0.005</td>
									<td align="center">0.776</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2008*Cons</td>
                                    <td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.055</td>
									<td align="center">0.019</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2015</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.038</td>
									<td align="center">0.010</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crisis 2015*Cons</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">-0.014</td>
									<td align="center">0.504</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Profit</td>
									<td align="center">-0.124</td>
									<td align="center">0.070</td>
									<td align="center">-0.125</td>
									<td align="center">0.067</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Tangib</td>
									<td align="center">-0.072</td>
									<td align="center">0.071</td>
									<td align="center">-0.067</td>
									<td align="center">0.094</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Size</td>
									<td align="center">-0.063</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">-0.063</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">M/B</td>
									<td align="center">0.006</td>
									<td align="center">0.649</td>
									<td align="center">0.006</td>
									<td align="center">0.641</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Constant</td>
									<td align="center">1.333</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">1.332</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Nº of observations</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Nº of firms</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">192</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">192</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; F</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² within</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.029</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.032</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² between</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.439</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.436</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">R² overall</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.301</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.302</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Estimation</td>
									<td align="center" colspan="2">Fixed Effects </td>
									<td align="center" colspan="2">Fixed Effects </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Breusch and Pagan</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chi2(1):</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">20372.51</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">20424.44</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; Chi2:</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chow</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">F statistics</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">32.31</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">32.26</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; F</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Hausman</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Chi2(5):</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">24.00</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">24.95</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Prob &gt; Chi2:</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.001</td>
									<td align="left"> </td>
									<td align="center">0.0016</td>
								</tr>
							</tbody>
						</table>
					</alternatives>
						<table-wrap-foot>
							<fn id="TFN6">
								<p><italic>Notes.</italic> DebtST: short term debt - short-term debt divided by total debt; crisis: 2008 and 2015 crisis dummies; cons: constrained firms; crisis*cons: interaction between crises and constrained firms; crisis 2008: dummy 1 between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the second quarter of 2009, and zero otherwise; crisis 2015: dummy 1 between the second quarter of 2014 and the third quarter of 2016, and zero otherwise; crisis2008*cons and crisis2015*cons: interaction between 2008 and 2015 crises and constraiend firms; profit: profitability - relationship between EBITDA and total assets; tangib: tangibility - relationship between fixed assets and total assets; size: size- natural log of total assets; M / B: market-to-book - asset at market value divided by asset at book value; coef.: coefficients; p-val FE, RC: coefficient significance level for fixed effects regression with clustered robust standard errors; nº of observations: number of observations; Prob &gt; F: significance level of the model; Breusch and Pagan: p-value of the LM testing by Breusch-Pagan; Chow: p-value if the Chow F test; Hausman: p-value of Hausman’s test; R² within: coefficient of explanation of the effects of variation over time for a given individual; R² between: coefficient of explanation of the effects of variation between individuals; R² overall: coefficient of general explanation of the model.</p>
							</fn>
						</table-wrap-foot>
					</table-wrap>
				</p>
				<p>The results presented in <xref ref-type="table" rid="t7">Table 7</xref> show that the 2008 crisis had a more significant positive impact on the proportion of short-term debt of constrained firms compared to unconstrained firms, corroborating the idea by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al. (2013</xref>) that, in times of crisis, banks seek to reduce the maturity of corporate lending to reduce risk, such that if the debts of restricted companies come mainly from bank resources, given the greater difficulty of access to alternative sources - as mentioned by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>) - the sensitivity of these firms’ short-term debts to crises marked by credit supply shocks would be greater. </p>
				<p>Moreover, the 2015 crisis impacted the proportion of short-term debt held by both constrained and unconstrained firms, not being statistically different between both groups of firms. </p>
				<p>It is worth drawing attention to the interpretations of the 2008 crisis results analysis. At that moment, facing the process of convergence of national and international accounting standards brought with the Law nº 11.638, 2007, the transition toward which began to occur in 2008, certain adjustments are now reflected in the financial statements of that year. As accounting parameters are used in this study to construct the variables used in the analyzes, there may be confounding factors impacting the estimates.</p>
			</sec>
		</sec>
		<sec sec-type="conclusions">
			<title>5. Final Considerations</title>
			<p>The aim of this study was to investigate the impacts of the 2008 and 2015 crises on investments and financing of constrained and unconstrained Brazilian firms. Investments were represented by corporate capital expenditures and financing was represented by leverage and debt maturity. </p>
			<p>The investment model sample consisted of 203 publicly traded Brazilian firms and the financing model sample comprised 192 firms, using quarterly data between Q1 2007 and Q3 2016, capturing the 2008 and 2015 crises. Companies were segregated ex ante from crises in constrained and unconstrained, based on the criterion of rating or not. </p>
			<p>Evidence showed that investments by constrained firms were negatively impacted by the 2015 crisis compared to unconstrained firms. In addition, the relationship between investments and cash in the 2015 crisis was positively more relevant for constrained firms, compared to unconstrained firms. Larger impacts of crises on investments of constrained firms and the greater relevance of cash to these companies in times of crisis are consistent with the analysis by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.(2010</xref>).</p>
			<p>With regard to financing, the results indicated that the 2008 crisis had a negative and significant impact on the leverage of constrained firms over unconstrained firms, as in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>). As for the maturity of the debts, according to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al. (2013</xref>), the proportion of short-term debt to total debt for constrained firms seemed to increase more than for unconstrained firms in the 2008 crisis alone. </p>
			<p>Evidence shows that financial crises are likely to have significant impacts on firms’ investments and financing, which may differ between companies, especially taking into account factors related to greater or lesser ease in obtaining external resources, reflected in the approach to financial constraints. This evidence brings contributions to the finance literature and can drive strategies by companies themselves, as precautionary practices for possible credit supply shocks, and even for credit providers in times of financial instability. </p>
			<p>One of the limitations of this study is the use of publicly traded companies in the sample. Some are classified as restricted and this may cause some bias in the analysis, as they are naturally less restricted than private companies which are not included in the sample. In addition, the rating was used as an indication of financial constraint, but there are other metrics capable of indicating this rating.</p>
			<p>As a suggestion of future research, one can further study the recent crisis of 2015, considered one of the worst recessions in Brazil. In addition, we understand that there should be further studies on the financial restriction criteria that would be pertinent to the Brazilian reality.</p>
		</sec>
	</body>
	<back>
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	<!--<sub-article article-type="translation" id="s1" xml:lang="pt">
		<front-stub>
			<article-categories>
				<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
					<subject>Artigo</subject>
				</subj-group>
			</article-categories>
			<title-group>
				<article-title>Impacto de crises sobre investimentos e financiamentos de companhias brasileiras: abordagem no contexto de restrições financeiras</article-title>
			</title-group>
			<contrib-group>
				<contrib contrib-type="author">
					<contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">0000-0001-9602-6229</contrib-id>
					<name>
						<surname>Franzotti</surname>
						<given-names>Tatiane Del Arco</given-names>
					</name>
					<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10"><sup>1</sup></xref>
				</contrib>
				<contrib contrib-type="author">
					<contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">0000-0003-2439-3526</contrib-id>
					<name>
						<surname>Valle</surname>
						<given-names>Maurício Ribeiro do</given-names>
					</name>
					<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10"><sup>1</sup></xref>
				</contrib>
				<aff id="aff10">
					<label>1 </label>
					<institution content-type="original">Universidade de São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil</institution>
					<institution content-type="orgname">Universidade de São Paulo</institution>
					<addr-line>
						<city>Ribeirão Preto</city>
						<state>SP</state>
					</addr-line>
					<country country="BR">Brasil</country>
				</aff>
			</contrib-group>
			<author-notes>
				<corresp id="c10">
					<email>tdfranzotti@gmail.com</email>
				</corresp>
				<corresp id="c20">
					<email>marvalle@usp.br</email>
				</corresp>
			</author-notes>
			<abstract>
				<title>Resumo</title>
				<p>O objetivo deste artigo é investigar os impactos de crises financeiras sobre investimentos e financiamentos de empresas brasileiras restritas e não restritas, analisando especificamente o impacto da crise do <italic>subprime</italic> de 2008 e a crise brasileira de 2015. Para isso, as empresas foram classificadas em restritas e não restritas pelo critério de existência ou não de <italic>rating,</italic> utilizando dados trimestrais entre o primeiro trimestre de 2007 e o terceiro trimestre de 2016, adotando como método a análise de dados em painel. Os resultados indicam que somente a crise brasileira de 2015 impactou, negativamente, os investimentos das empresas, sendo esse impacto maior sobre empresas restritas, havendo indícios de que caixa foi mais relevante para essas empresas. Em relação ao impacto de crises sobre a alavancagem, a crise do <italic>subprime</italic> de 2008 mostrou impacto maior, negativamente, sobre a alavancagem de empresas restritas, acompanhado de um aumento na proporção das dívidas de curto prazo principalmente para essas empresas.</p>
			</abstract>
			<kwd-group xml:lang="pt">
				<title>Palavras-chave:</title>
				<kwd>crise financeira</kwd>
				<kwd>investimento</kwd>
				<kwd>financiamento</kwd>
				<kwd>restrição financeira</kwd>
				<kwd>assimetrias informacionais</kwd>
			</kwd-group>
		</front-stub>
		<body>
			<sec sec-type="intro">
				<title>1. Introdução</title>
				<p>Diante do contexto de restrições financeiras, que consiste na maior limitação do acesso de determinadas empresas ao crédito em comparação a outras, autores como <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello, Graham e Harvey(2010</xref>), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin, Ozbas e Sensoy (2010</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Driver e Muñoz-Bugarin (2019</xref>) propuseram o estudo de como crises, normalmente caracterizadas por choques na oferta de crédito às empresas, impactam fatores como investimentos e financiamentos corporativos, evidenciando efeitos distintos sobre empresas restritas e não restritas. Nesse âmbito, trazendo a motivação dos estudos mencionados à realidade brasileira, são observadas duas crises financeiras ocorridas no Brasil recentemente, sendo elas a crise do <italic>subprime</italic> de 2008 e a crise de 2015, que levaram ao seguinte questionamento: <italic>existiram impactos relevantes das crises financeiras de 2008 e 2015 sobre os investimentos e financiamentos de empresas brasileiras restritas e não restritas?</italic></p>
				<p>A abordagem deste estudo remete, em sua essência, à existência de assimetrias informacionais, em que alguns agentes econômicos possuem mais informações que outros. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Fazzari, Hubbard e Petersen (1988</xref>), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Calomiris e Hubbard (1990</xref>) e Hubbard (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">1998</xref>), dentre outros autores, levantaram argumentos de que as empresas não possuem uma curva de oferta de recursos comum, de forma que algumas possuem mais fácil acesso ao crédito em comparação a outras, levando ao contexto de restrições financeiras, em que a oferta de recursos é diferente para as empresas - empresas podem ser mais ou menos restritas ao crédito.</p>
				<p>Em períodos de crises financeiras, problemas decorrentes de assimetrias informacionais são intensificados, prejudicando a canalização de recursos para detentores das melhores oportunidades de investimento (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Mishkin, 1992</xref>).Principalmente com a crise do <italic>subprime</italic> de 2008, evidências apontaram que, com o choque negativo na oferta de crédito, seus efeitos foram diferentes entre as empresas. Nesses casos, de um lado, para autores como <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al.(2010</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.(2010</xref>), a crise mostrou-se capaz de impactar os investimentos de empresas com restrições financeiras de forma mais acentuada em comparação a empresas não restritas, uma vez que o acesso restrito a recursos tende a ser intensificado em períodos de contração de crédito principalmente para empresas restritas. Por outro lado, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Driver e Muñoz-Bugarin (2019</xref>) apontaram que a crise financeira impactou principalmente empresas maiores (menos restritas), que se tornaram mais sensíveis a restrições financeiras no momento de crise.</p>
				<p>Com relação aos impactos de crises sobre financiamentos, autores como <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar, Rehman e Ormrod(2013</xref>) argumentam que principalmente empresas restritas passam por maiores impactos negativos em seus financiamentos em momentos de choques negativos na oferta de crédito, visto que o acesso a recursos fica mais dificultado. Quanto aos impactos de crises sobre a maturidade das dívidas, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula, Oreiro e Basilio(2013</xref>) apontaram que, como empresas restritas normalmente contam mais com empréstimos bancários, de maturidade menor, essas empresas tendem a passar por um aumento na proporção de dívidas de curto prazo em relação às dívidas de longo prazo em crises, uma vez que bancos tendem a buscar a redução de riscos e acabam encurtando a maturidade de seus empréstimos. Por outro lado, Akbar et al.(<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2013</xref>) notaram que as dívidas de curto prazo tendem a ser reduzidas em momentos de crise, impactadas pela queda na oferta de crédito bancário. </p>
				<p>Segundo <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Ivashina e Scharfstein (2010</xref>), a crise de 2008 foi desencadeada nos Estados Unidos pelo <italic>boom</italic> de crédito e consequente pânico bancário e colapso das hipotecas <italic>subprime</italic>. Já a crise de 2015 envolveu, dentre outros fatores, instabilidades políticas, aumento da inflação e das taxas de juros e queda no PIB. A título de exemplo, no quarto trimestre de 2015 o PIB chegou a recuar quase 6 pontos percentuais frente ao mesmo período de 2014, indicando seu pior desempenho desde as últimas duas décadas, segundo dados do IBGE. Dadas as proporções da crise brasileira de 2015, cujos efeitos se mostraram muito evidentes na economia, frente à crise de 2008, cujo estopim deu-se em outro país, questionamentos surgem com o intuito de responder à questão de pesquisa levantada no início deste trabalho, que tem como objetivo principal investigar os impactos das crises financeiras de 2008 e 2015 sobre investimentos e financiamentos de empresas brasileiras restritas e não restritas. Para isso, foi empregado o método de análise por dados em painel, sendo utilizado o critério de <italic>rating</italic> para classificar as empresas em restritas e não restritas, de modo que empresas que possuíam um <italic>rating</italic> por agências de risco (Standard &amp; Poor’s, Moody’s e/ou Fitch) em ambas as crises foram consideradas não restritas, enquanto a ausência de <italic>rating</italic> levou à classificação das empresas restritas.</p>
				<p>Os resultados evidenciaram que empresas restritas e não restritas foram impactadas de formas diferentes, tanto na crise de 2008 quanto na de 2015. Foram obtidas evidências de que somente a crise de 2015 impactou, negativamente, os investimentos das empresas, sendo esse impacto maior sobre empresas restritas. Analisando o impacto das crises sobre a alavancagem, há evidências de que a crise de 2008 teve impacto maior e negativo sobre empresas restritas, acompanhado de um aumento na proporção das dívidas de curto prazo principalmente para essas empresas.</p>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>2. Revisão de Literatura</title>
				<sec>
					<title>2.1.Mercados Imperfeitos, Assimetria Informacional e Restrições Financeiras</title>
					<p>Discussões sobre investimento e financiamento se estendem desde o trabalho seminal de <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Modigliani e Miller (1958</xref>), cuja ideia é de que, pressupondo mercados perfeitos, os investimentos independem de características financeiras como liquidez, alavancagem ou pagamento de dividendos. Posteriormente, o desenvolvimento de novas teorias e modelos levou ao questionamento dessa posição de Modigliani e Miller (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">1958</xref>), ao mesmo tempo em que as imperfeições de mercado passaram a ser consideradas como fatores capazes de interferir nas decisões das empresas. Essas imperfeições, ou fricções financeiras, estão ligadas à existência de assimetrias de informação.</p>
					<p>Na literatura de racionamento de crédito provocado por assimetrias na informação, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Jaffee e Russell (1976</xref>) apontam que racionamento de crédito surge como uma resposta do mercado à seleção adversa, em que emprestadores são incapazes de distinguir tomadores de empréstimos honestos, que pagam as dívidas, e desonestos, que não pagam as dívidas sempre que os custos de inadimplência são baixos. Ao passo que em Jaffee e Russell (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">1976</xref>) o crédito é racionado no sentido de que tomadores recebem empréstimos em quantidade menor do que a desejada, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Stiglitz e Weiss (1981</xref>) exploraram a ideia de que nem todas as empresas que precisam de crédito são capazes de consegui-lo. </p>
					<p>Diante de abordagens sustentadas em teorias de assimetrias informacionais, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Fazzari e Athey (1987</xref>) destacaram que, se a firma possui fluxo de caixa operacional suficiente para financiar seus investimentos, pode acabar evitando o mercado de capitais externo, em que pode existir racionamento de crédito. A conexão entre assimetria informacional, restrições financeiras e investimentos proposta por Fazzari e Athey (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">1987</xref>) foi precursora das contribuições seminais de Fazzari et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">1988</xref>) no campo das restrições financeiras que envolvem o financiamento dos investimentos das empresas.</p>
					<p>
						<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Fazzari et al. (1988</xref>), ao estudarem a influência de características financeiras sobre os investimentos das empresas, argumentam que, diferentemente do que ocorre em mercados perfeitos, imperfeições de mercado existem, fazendo com que recursos externos e recursos internos às empresas não sejam perfeitamente substitutos. Essa ideia surge das diferenças nos custos de tais financiamentos, que ocorrem devido à presença de assimetrias informacionais. Em outras palavras, os custos de financiamentos externos são maiores, ou seja, custos de emissão de novas dívidas e ações diferem do custo de oportunidade do financiamento gerado por fluxos de caixa e lucros retidos pelas empresas, visto que envolvem, dentre outros fatores, custos de transação e informação assimétrica.</p>
				</sec>
				<sec>
					<title>2.2. Crises Financeiras, Investimentos e Financiamentos</title>
					<p>Explorando os impactos de fricções na oferta de recursos sobre as decisões de estrutura de capital, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) levanta argumentos de que a resposta esperada para choques na oferta de empréstimos depende do acesso das empresas a diferentes segmentos nos mercados de capitais. Assim, quando encaram uma contração na oferta de empréstimos, empresas sem acesso a mercados de dívidas públicos precisariam encontrar fontes alternativas para evitar restrições de capital, incluindo, por exemplo, recursos internos. Essa substituição resultaria em menor (maior) alavancagem após uma contração (expansão) na oferta de empréstimos.</p>
					<p>Por sua vez, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Lemmon e Roberts (2010</xref>) analisaram como choques na oferta de crédito afetam não só o financiamento das empresas, mas também os investimentos. As evidências de Lemmon e Roberts (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2010</xref>) apontaram que a substituição entre dívida bancária e fontes alternativas de capital, como saldos de caixa, foi limitada em momentos de choque na oferta de crédito, havendo um declínio de quase um por um no investimento líquido com um declínio nas emissões de dívida líquidas. </p>
					<p>A fim de investigar e comparar os planos de investimento, políticas financeiras e gastos corporativos de empresas restritas e não restritas durante a crise de 2008, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al. (2010</xref>) entrevistaram CFOs de empresas em diversos países. Os resultados indicaram que firmas restritas planejaram maiores cortes em investimentos em comparação a empresas não restritas, e a crise financeira de 2008 não afetou o nível de caixa das empresas não restritas. Ainda, as evidências são consistentes com a visão de que empresas restritas constroem reservas de caixa como forma de se preparar contra potenciais choques de oferta de crédito. </p>
					<p>Interessados nos efeitos da oferta de crédito durante a crise de 2008, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al. (2010</xref>) destacam que choques negativos na oferta de financiamento externo, aliados à presença de fricções financeiras, podem prejudicar os investimentos se as firmas não tiverem folga financeira, sendo esses efeitos particularmente severos em firmas que encaram custos maiores para captar recursos externos. Nesse sentido, ao investigar a relação entre restrições financeiras, reservas de caixa e investimentos antes e após a crise, os resultados mostraram que os investimentos caem tanto para firmas com e sem restrição financeira após a crise, embora o declínio seja maior para firmas restritas. Ainda, retenções de caixa são apontadas como um meio de precaução quando o crédito é menor e as empresas são restritas.</p>
					<p>Focando no impacto de choques na oferta de crédito durante a crise de 2008 sobre financiamento e investimento de firmas privadas no Reino Unido, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>) explicam que essas empresas são caracterizadas por alta assimetria informacional e encaram custos de financiamento externo maior, podendo piorar em momentos de desaceleração econômica. Dessa forma, essas empresas são naturalmente mais restritas e tendem a preferir, em momentos de desaceleração, financiamento interno.</p>
					<p>Dito isso, os autores analisaram como as empresas privadas minimizaram os efeitos da contração de crédito bancário por meio de fontes alternativas de financiamento, como recursos internos, e emissão de ações. Foram indicadas evidências de que, para essas empresas, o financiamento de curto prazo foi mais afetado pela crise financeira de 2008, enquanto emitiram mais ações e retiveram mais caixa por motivo de precaução. Além disso, a incapacidade das empresas privadas em obter crédito externo fez com que cortassem seus investimentos.</p>
					<p>Por sua vez, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Driver e Muñoz-Bugarin (2019</xref>) investigaram os efeitos de restrições financeiras sobre os investimentos de companhias do Reino Unido, considerando o tamanho das empresas, buscando refletir os efeitos da crise de 2008. Os autores obtiveram evidências de que os efeitos de restrições de crédito para empresas grandes e pequenas foram diferentes durante a crise, sendo que, para as empresas maiores (menos restritas), as desvantagens foram maiores. A sensibilidade das empresas maiores a restrições financeiras surgiu durante o período de crise, enquanto, para empresas menores, o efeito mostrou-se perene e não aumentou durante a crise.</p>
					<p>No Brasil, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Oliveira e Cunha (2012</xref>) apontaram que empresas com maior restrição financeira dependem mais de recursos próprios do que empresas menos restritas. No que tange à oferta de recursos durante momentos de crise financeira, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al. (2013</xref>) analisaram a evolução do mercado de crédito no Brasil, enfatizando o papel de bancos públicos, especialmente do BNDES, durante períodos de instabilidade financeira e contração de crédito. Os autores observaram a ampliação da capacidade produtiva das empresas e das decisões de investimento a partir de meados de 2007, aumentando a demanda por crédito corporativo, atendido pelo setor bancário varejista (capital de giro) e pelo BNDES, com financiamentos de longo prazo.</p>
					<p>Diante das discussões levantadas de que investimentos de empresas restritas são mais afetados por crises em comparação aos investimentos de empresas não restritas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al.,2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.,2010</xref>), e que principalmente as empresas restritas, que supostamente encaram maiores dificuldades no acesso ao crédito externo, contam mais com o caixa para mitigar os efeitos de choques na oferta de crédito e financiar seus investimentos (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al<italic>.</italic>,2010</xref>), são levantadas as seguintes hipóteses a serem testadas neste estudo:</p>
					<p>H<sub>1</sub>:Crises financeiras impactam os investimentos de empresas restritas de forma mais rigorosa do que empresas não restritas;</p>
					<p>H<sub>2</sub>: A relação entre investimentos e caixa na crise é mais relevante para empresas restritas do que para empresas não restritas.</p>
					<p>Referentemente aos impactos de crises sobre o financiamento das empresas, autores como <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al. (2013</xref>) mencionam que a alavancagem de empresas mais restritas seria mais impactada negativamente por choques negativos na oferta de crédito. Ainda, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al. (2013</xref>) argumentam que, em períodos economicamente instáveis, a tendência é que bancos busquem a redução de seus riscos por meio do encurtamento da maturidade de seus empréstimos e, também, da redução da oferta de crédito de prazos maiores, mais arriscado, o que impactaria mais o endividamento de curto prazo principalmente de empresas restritas.</p>
					<p>Dito isso, são levantadas as seguintes hipóteses:</p>
					<p>H<sub>3</sub>:Crises financeiras provocam efeitos negativos mais relevantes sobre a alavancagem das empresas restritas em relação a empresas não restritas; </p>
					<p>H<sub>4</sub>:Crises provocam um aumento na proporção de dívidas de curto prazo das empresas restritas de forma mais acentuada do que para empresas não restritas.</p>
				</sec>
			</sec>
			<sec>
				<title>3. Método de Pesquisa</title>
				<p>Para atender ao objetivo do presente estudo, são considerados dois momentos de crise no Brasil: a crise do <italic>subprime</italic> de 2008 e a crise financeira e política brasileira de 2014, 2015 e 2016 (neste trabalho denominada crise de 2015), momentos de desaceleração (crise de 2008) e até de contração na oferta de recursos destinados às empresas (crise de 2015), como mostra a <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10">Figura 1</xref>.</p>
				<p>
					<fig id="f10">
						<label>Figura 1.</label>
						<caption>
							<title>Variação média trimestral do saldo de crédito Pessoa Jurídica no Brasil. </title>
						</caption>
						<graphic xlink:href="1808-2386-bbr-17-02-233-gf10.jpg"/>
						<attrib>Fonte: elaboração própria com base em informações do Banco Central do Brasil (www.bcb.gov.br)</attrib>
					</fig>
				</p>
                <p>Partindo principalmente das variações na oferta de crédito para a determinação dos trimestres de crise investigados neste estudo, a crise de 2008 envolve o período entre o quarto trimestre de 2008, considerado o marco da crise do <italic>subprime</italic> com a queda do Lehman Brothers, sendo, também, apontado como o início da crise pelo CODACE (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Comitê de Datação de Ciclos Econômicos</xref>), e o segundo trimestre de 2009, dada a desaceleração no nível de crédito naquele período no Brasil, conforme <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10">Figura 1</xref>. Já a crise de 2015 compreende o período entre o segundo trimestre de 2014, considerado marco inicial da crise pelo CODACE, e o terceiro trimestre de 2016, capturando o período de grande queda na atividade econômica no Brasil juntamente à contração do saldo de crédito, que passa a aumentar a partir de então, como observado na <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10">Figura 1</xref>. </p>
				<sec>
					<title>3.1. Dados e Amostra</title>
					<p>Os dados deste estudo foram coletados no <italic>software</italic> Economática®, trimestralmente, entre o primeiro trimestre de 2007 e o terceiro trimestre de 2016.</p>
					<p>Inicialmente, foram excluídas empresas sem informações trimestrais necessárias, além de empresas cujo estoque de capital era inferior a R$ 10 milhões no início do período, em valores de 2007, para eliminar firmas muito pequenas, assim como em <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al. (2010</xref>). A amostra geral final do modelo de investimentos é composta por 203 empresas brasileiras não financeiras de capital aberto, com registro ativo na Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM) em 2016. Por sua vez, a amostra geral do modelo de financiamentos é composta por 192 empresas, respeitando as mesmas características mencionadas anteriormente. </p>
				</sec>
				<sec>
					<title>3.2.Medidas de Restrição Financeira</title>
					<p>Para analisar os impactos de crises financeiras sobre as decisões de investimento e financiamento das empresas brasileiras segregadas de acordo com sua restrição financeira, foi utilizado o critério de existência ou não de <italic>rating</italic> para separação das empresas, cuja vantagem é a indicação da avaliação do mercado, por um agente externo, quanto à qualidade do crédito.</p>
					<p>Assim como em <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.(2010</xref>), neste estudo a medida de restrição financeira das empresas foi determinada com base em observações de anos anteriores às crises de 2008 e 2015, evitando problemas de seleção endógenos às decisões tomadas pela empresa. Portanto, para a classificação de restrição financeira das empresas, foram adotadas informações dos anos de 2007 (ano imediatamente anterior à crise de 2008) e 2013 (ano imediatamente anterior à crise de 2014/2015/2016). </p>
					<p>A existência ou não de um <italic>rating</italic> foi utilizada por <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Lemmon e Roberts (2010</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al. (2010</xref>). O argumento é que empresas sem avaliação por uma agência de avaliação de riscos, como Standard &amp; Poor’s (S&amp;P), Moody’s e Fitch, possuem maior restrição financeira em relação a firmas cujas dívidas foram avaliadas, visto que a avaliação indica a qualidade de crédito dessas empresas, minimizando assimetrias informacionais. </p>
					<p>Para a classificação das empresas, os dados de <italic>rating</italic> das empresas foram coletados a partir da base “<italic>Rating</italic> de Companhias Abertas e Fechadas 1994-2017” disponibilizada no <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Portal de Pesquisa em Finanças</xref> da Professora Tatiana Albanez. A partir desses dados, foram elencadas as empresas que possuíam um <italic>rating</italic> por pelo menos uma das agências de risco tanto em 2007 quanto em 2013. As empresas que possuíam, necessariamente, um <italic>rating</italic> tanto em 2007 quanto em 2013, foram classificadas como não restritas. As demais empresas - tanto empresas sem <italic>rating</italic> em ambos os anos, quanto empresas com <italic>rating</italic> em apenas um dos anos - foram classificadas como restritas.</p>
					<p>Cabe mencionar que, além do critério de existência ou não de <italic>rating</italic>, foram feitas análises adicionais classificando as empresas por seu grau de investimento (<italic>non-investment grade</italic> e <italic>investment grade</italic>), informações essas também encontradas na base mencionada anteriormente. Nesse caso, foram feitas comparações entre empresas com grau de investimento e empresas sem grau de investimento e com ausência de <italic>rating</italic>- os dois últimos grupos analisados conjuntamente. Os resultados obtidos utilizando ambos os critérios levaram às mesmas conclusões. Adicionalmente, foram feitas estimações por painel de duplo efeito fixo, levando também às mesmas conclusões. O material suplementar contendo os testes de robustez mencionados pode ser encontrado no repositório científico Figshare ou, também, pode ser fornecido pelos autores. </p>
				</sec>
				<sec>
					<title>3.3. Variáveis Dependentes</title>
					<p>A variável dependente para o estudo do impacto de crises sobre investimentos é representada pelo seguinte indicador, construído com base em <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.(2010</xref>):</p>
					<p>
	<disp-formula id="e100">
		<mml:math id="m100" display="block">
<mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math>
	</disp-formula>
</p>

					<p>em que Invest: Investimento; CAPEX: Gastos de capital, envolvendo aquisições líquidas de ativos imobilizados, trimestralmente; AT: Ativos Totais. </p>
					<p>As variáveis dependentes para o estudo do impacto de crises sobre financiamentos são as seguintes:</p>
<p>
	<disp-formula id="e101">
		<mml:math id="m101" display="block">
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	</disp-formula>
</p>
					<p>em que Alav: Alavancagem; Dívidas Totais: soma entre as dívidas de curto e longo prazo; AT: Ativos Totais; DívCP: Dívidas de curto prazo. A variável de alavancagem foi construída com base em <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Lemmon e Roberts (2010</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>).</p>
				</sec>
				<sec>
					<title>3.4. Variáveis Independentes</title>
					<p>As principais variáveis independentes neste trabalho são as crises, especificamente as crises de 2008 e de 2015. As variáveis de crise são representadas por <italic>dummies</italic> nos modelos, com valor 1 para trimestres de crise (entre o quarto trimestre de 2008e o segundo trimestre de 2009 e entre o segundo trimestre de 2014 e o terceiro trimestre de 2016) e zero para os demais trimestres entre 2007 e 2016.</p>
					<p>a) Investimentos</p>
					<p>Na literatura que estuda os impactos de crises sobre os investimentos das empresas, há evidências de que crises afetam de forma negativa os investimentos das empresas. No entanto, esses efeitos podem ser diferentes entre as empresas: impactos podem ser mais fortes sobre empresas restritas, uma vez que a restrição ao crédito para essas empresas se intensifica ainda mais em períodos de contração de crédito (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al<italic>.</italic>, 2010</xref>).</p>
					<p>Ainda na literatura de restrição financeira e investimentos, é comum a inclusão da variável Caixa, representando os recursos internos às empresas. Nesse sentido, essa variável foi acrescentada como variável independente no modelo de investimento, calculada como a proporção de caixa sobre os ativos totais, com defasagem de um período. Espera-se que, para empresas restritas, a relação entre investimentos e caixa na crise seja positiva e mais forte em comparação às empresas não restritas. O argumento é que, para as empresas restritas, o caixa mitigaria os efeitos do choque na oferta de crédito, ligado aos impactos sobre os investimentos.</p>
					<p>b) Financiamentos</p>
					<p>Quanto aos impactos sobre a alavancagem, há evidências de que crises impactam negativamente a alavancagem de empresas restritas, enquanto empresas não restritas não são tão impactadas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al., 2013</xref>). O argumento é que o acesso a recursos por empresas com maior restrição financeira em momentos de choques negativos na oferta de crédito torna-se ainda mais dificultado. </p>
					<p>No que se refere aos impactos de crises sobre a participação de dívidas de curto e longo prazo em relação à dívida total, existem relações ambíguas apontadas pela literatura: positiva, com o argumento de que os bancos buscam diminuir riscos e reduzem a maturidade dos seus empréstimos e financiamentos, aumentando, assim, a proporção de dívidas de curto prazo (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al., 2013</xref>), ou negativa, com o argumento de que as dívidas de curto prazo tendem a ser reduzidas em momentos de crise, impactadas pela queda na oferta de crédito bancário, principalmente de empresas restritas, cujas dívidas são majoritariamente oriundas de recursos bancários em decorrência do acesso limitado a fontes alternativas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Bremus, 2015</xref>).</p>
				</sec>
				<sec>
					<title>3.5. Variáveis de Controle</title>
					<p>a) Investimentos</p>
					<p>No modelo de investimentos, a <italic>proxy</italic> utilizada para controlar as oportunidades de investimento (ou oportunidades de crescimento) é definida pela variável <italic>Market-to-Book</italic>(ativo a valor de mercado pelo ativo a valor contábil). Espera-se relação positiva entre oportunidades de investimento e investimentos, de forma que quanto maiores as oportunidades de investimento, maiores os investimentos, tanto para empresas restritas quanto não restritas.</p>
					<p>b) Financiamentos</p>
					<p>No modelo de financiamentos, assim como em <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>), foram utilizadas variáveis de controle comumente utilizadas na literatura de estrutura de capital, a fim de controlar pela demanda das empresas por financiamento. Essas variáveis foram incluídas segundo argumentos de <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Rajan e Zingales (1995</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Frank e Goyal (2009</xref>), sendo elas rentabilidade, tangibilidade, tamanho e oportunidades de crescimento.</p>
					<p>A variável rentabilidade foi calculada pela relação entre EBITDA e ativos totais, sendo que a relação esperada é ambígua: negativa indica preferência das empresas por financiamento com recursos internos ao invés de dívidas, e relação positiva indica que ofertantes de recursos teriam preferência por realizar empréstimos a empresas mais rentáveis.</p>
					<p>A variável tangibilidade foi calculada pela relação entre imobilizado e ativos totais, sendo esperada relação ambígua entre tangibilidade e alavancagem: positiva indica o papel dos colaterais na minimização de custos de agência, e negativa indica custos de emissão de ações menores.</p>
					<p>Tamanho, por sua vez, foi calculado com base no logaritmo natural dos ativos das empresas, esperando relação ambígua entre tamanho e alavancagem: positiva indica que empresas maiores tendem a ser mais diversificadas e possuem menores probabilidades de falência e negativa indica preferência de investidores por ações devido ao acesso à informação de empresas maiores.</p>
					<p>Por fim, assim como no modelo de investimentos, oportunidades de crescimento foram mensuradas pelo índice <italic>market-to-book</italic>, sendo esperada relação negativa, uma vez que empresas com perspectivas de crescimento futuro utilizariam maior participação de financiamento por ações.</p>
					<p>Na <xref ref-type="table" rid="t10">Tabela 1</xref> é apresentada a construção das variáveis dos modelos de investimentos e financiamentos:</p>
					<p>
						<table-wrap id="t10">
							<label>Tabela 1.</label>
							<caption>
								<title><italic>Construção das Variáveis</italic></title>
							</caption>
							<table>
								<colgroup>
									<col span="3"/>
								</colgroup>
								<thead>
									<tr>
										<th align="center" colspan="3">Investimentos </th>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<th align="left">Variáveis</th>
										<th align="left">Sigla</th>
										<th align="left"><italic>Proxy</italic></th>
									</tr>
								</thead>
								<tbody>
                                    <tr>
										<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Variáveis Dependentes</italic></td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Investimento </td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Invest</italic></td>
										<td align="left">CAPEX/Ativos Totais</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Variáveis Independentes</italic></td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Crise</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Crise 2008</italic>
 <italic>Crise 2015</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Dummy 1 para Crise e 0 para outros períodos</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Caixa</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Caixa</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Cx e Eq de Caixa/Ativos Totais</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Crise*Caixa</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Crise*Caixa</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Crise*(Cx e Eq de Caixa/Ativos Totais)</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Variável de Controle</italic></td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Oportunidades de Investimento</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>M/B</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Ativo a Valor de Mercado/Ativo a Valor Contábil</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center" colspan="3">Financiamentos</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Variáveis</td>
										<td align="left">Sigla</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Proxy</italic></td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Variáveis Dependentes</italic></td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Alavancagem</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Alav</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Dívidas Totais/Ativos Totais</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Dívidas de Curto Prazo</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>DívCP</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Dívidas CP/Dívidas Totais</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Variáveis Independentes</italic></td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Crise</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Crise 2008 Crise 2015</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Dummy 1 para Crise e 0 para outros períodos</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left" colspan="3"><italic>Variável de Controle</italic></td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Rentabilidade</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Rentab</italic></td>
										<td align="left">EBITDA/Ativos Totais</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Tangibilidade</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Tangib</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Imobilizado/Ativos Totais</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Tamanho</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>Tam</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Ln Ativos</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="center">Oportunidades de Crescimento</td>
										<td align="left"><italic>M/B</italic></td>
										<td align="left">Ativo a Valor de Mercado/Ativo a Valor Contábil</td>
									</tr>
								</tbody>
							</table>
						</table-wrap>
					</p>
					<p>As formas gerais dos modelos de Investimentos (Invest) e Financiamentos (Fin) a serem estudados são apresentadas abaixo, para cada empresa <italic>i</italic> em cada trimestre <italic>t:</italic></p>
					<p>
	<disp-formula id="e102">
		<mml:math id="m102" display="block">
			
<mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math>
		
	</disp-formula>
</p>
					<p>
	<disp-formula id="e103">
		<mml:math id="m103" display="block">
			
<mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>F</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi> </mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:math>
		
	</disp-formula>
</p>
					<p>Os modelos do estudo dos impactos de crises sobre os investimentos das empresas são os seguintes:</p>
					<p>
	<disp-formula id="e104">
		<mml:math id="m104" display="block">
<mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
		<label>(1)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
					<p>
	<disp-formula id="e105">
		<mml:math id="m105" display="block">
<mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi> </mml:mi></mml:math>
		<label>(2)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>

					<p>em que <italic>Invest</italic> representa os Investimentos, <italic>Crise</italic> é a <italic>dummy</italic> de crise, <italic>Crise*Rest</italic>, <italic>Crise2008*Rest</italic>e <italic>Crise2015*Rest</italic> representam <italic>dummies</italic> da crise de 2008 e de 2015 para a <italic>dummy</italic> de empresas restritas. As variáveis de cada crise e a <italic>dummy</italic> de restrição financeira foram interagidas com o caixa (em t-1). <italic>M/B</italic> representa as oportunidades de investimento, no período t. Já os modelos do estudo dos impactos de crises sobre financiamentos das empresas são os seguintes:</p>
					<p>
	<disp-formula id="e106">
		<mml:math id="m106" display="block">
<mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
		<label>(3)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e107">
		<mml:math id="m107" display="block">
<mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
		<label>(4)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>

					<p>
	<disp-formula id="e108">
		<mml:math id="m108" display="block">
<mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mi>í</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
		<label>(5)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
				<p>
	<disp-formula id="e109">
		<mml:math id="m109" display="block">
<mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mi>í</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2008</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mn>2015</mml:mn><mml:mi>*</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math>
		<label>(6)</label>
	</disp-formula>
</p>
					<p>em que <italic>Alav</italic> representa a alavancagem, <italic>DívCP</italic> representa a proporção de dívidas de curto prazo, <italic>Crise</italic> é a <italic>dummy</italic> de crise, <italic>Crise*Rest</italic>, <italic>Crise2008*Rest</italic>e <italic>Crise2015*Rest</italic> representam <italic>dummies</italic> da crise de 2008 e de 2015 para a <italic>dummy</italic> de empresas restritas, <italic>Rentab</italic> é rentabilidade, <italic>Tangib</italic> é tangibilidade, <italic>Tam</italic> é tamanho e <italic>M/B</italic> representa as oportunidades de crescimento (todas as variáveis no período t).</p>
				</sec>
				<sec>
					<title>3.6. Técnicas de Análise</title>
					<p>Os procedimentos metodológicos adotados foram análises descritivas e análises de dados em painel. Nos modelos, são incluídas <italic>dummies</italic> para o grupo de empresas restritas, e as empresas não restritas são tomadas como base para o modelo de regressão, conforme adotado por <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Aldrighi e Bisinha (2010</xref>). Em outras palavras, as empresas incluídas na regressão evidenciam seu diferencial em relação às empresas não restritas, que são aquelas não restritas na crise de 2008 que se mantiveram não restritas na crise de 2015. </p>
					<p>Para garantir estimadores mais consistentes, neste estudo foi utilizado o método de estimação por efeitos fixos, assim como em <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al<italic>.</italic> (2010</xref>), sendo realizadas estimações com erros-padrão robustos com agrupamento por empresa. </p>
				</sec>
			</sec>
			<sec sec-type="results">
				<title>4. Análise dos Resultados</title>
				<p>A <xref ref-type="table" rid="t20">Tabela 2</xref> apresenta as estatísticas descritivas do modelo de investimentos:</p>
				<p>
					<table-wrap id="t20">
						<label>Tabela 2.</label>
						<caption>
							<title><italic>Estatísticas Descritivas Investimentos</italic></title>
						</caption>
						<table>
							<colgroup>
								<col span="5"/>
							</colgroup>
							<thead>
								<tr>
									<th align="center" colspan="5">Investimentos </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="left"> </th>
									<th align="left"> </th>
									<th align="center" colspan="3">Variáveis </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="left"> </th>
									<th align="center"> </th>
									<th align="center">Investimento</th>
									<th align="center">Caixa</th>
									<th align="center">M/B</th>
								</tr>
							</thead>
							<tbody>
                                <tr>
									<td align="left" rowspan="5">Todas as Empresas</td>
									<td align="left">Nº Obs.</td>
									<td align="center">6097</td>
									<td align="center">6097</td>
									<td align="center">6097</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Média</td>
									<td align="center">0.016</td>
									<td align="center">0.098</td>
									<td align="center">0.820</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Desvio Padrão</td>
									<td align="center">0.037</td>
									<td align="center">0.112</td>
									<td align="center">0.918</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Mín.</td>
									<td align="center">-0.734</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.003</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Máx.</td>
									<td align="center">0.866</td>
									<td align="center">0.889</td>
									<td align="center">8.977</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" rowspan="5">Empresas Restritas</td>
									<td align="left">Nº Obs.</td>
									<td align="center">4259</td>
									<td align="center">4259</td>
									<td align="center">4259</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Média</td>
									<td align="center">0.014</td>
									<td align="center">0.098</td>
									<td align="center">0.857</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Desvio Padrão</td>
									<td align="center">0.038</td>
									<td align="center">0.121</td>
									<td align="center">1.002</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Mín.</td>
									<td align="center">-0.558</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.003</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Máx.</td>
									<td align="center">0.866</td>
									<td align="center">0.889</td>
									<td align="center">8.977</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" rowspan="5">Empresas Não Restritas</td>
									<td align="left">Nº Obs.</td>
									<td align="center">1838</td>
									<td align="center">1838</td>
									<td align="center">1838</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Média</td>
									<td align="center">0.019</td>
									<td align="center">0.099</td>
									<td align="center">0.733</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Desvio Padrão</td>
									<td align="center">0.034</td>
									<td align="center">0.089</td>
									<td align="center">0.677</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Mín.</td>
									<td align="center">-0.734</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.007</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Máx.</td>
									<td align="center">0.479</td>
									<td align="center">0.707</td>
									<td align="center">5.361</td>
								</tr>
							</tbody>
						</table>
						<table-wrap-foot>
							<fn id="TFN7">
								<p><italic>Notas.</italic>Amostrade203 empresas; investimento: CAPEX dividido pelos ativos totais; caixa: caixa e equivalentes de caixa dividido pelos ativos totais; M/B: oportunidades de investimento calculadas pelo índice <italic>market-to-book-</italic> ativo a valor de mercado dividido pelo ativo a valor contábil; nºobs: número de observações; mín.: mínimo; máx.: máximo.</p>
							</fn>
						</table-wrap-foot>
					</table-wrap>
				</p>
				<p>Analisando todas as empresas, a média trimestral de investimentos é de 1,6%. Quando analisadas as amostras de empresas restritas e não restritas, observa-se que a média de investimentos das empresas não restritas (1,9%) é maior que a das empresas restritas (1,4%). Observa-se, ainda, que os níveis de caixa das empresas restritas e não restritas não são consideravelmente diferentes, 9,8% e 9,9%, respectivamente. Quanto às oportunidades de investimento, representadas pelo <italic>market-to-book</italic>, empresas restritas apresentaram médias maiores em relação a empresas não restritas.</p>
				<p>A <xref ref-type="table" rid="t30">Tabela 3</xref> refere-se às estatísticas descritivas relativas aos financiamentos. </p>
				<p>
					<table-wrap id="t30">
						<label>Tabela 3.</label>
						<caption>
							<title><italic>Estatísticas Descritivas Financiamentos</italic></title>
						</caption>
						<table>
							<colgroup>
								<col span="9"/>
							</colgroup>
							<thead>
								<tr>
									<th align="center" colspan="9">Financiamentos </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="left"> </th>
									<th align="left"> </th>
									<th align="center" colspan="7">Variáveis </th>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<th align="left"> </th>
									<th align="center"> </th>
									<th align="center">Alav</th>
									<th align="center">DívCP</th>
									<th align="center">DívLP</th>
									<th align="center">Rentab</th>
									<th align="center">Tangib</th>
									<th align="center">Tam</th>
									<th align="center">M/B</th>
								</tr>
							</thead>
							<tbody>
                                <tr>
									<td align="left" rowspan="5">Todas as Empresas</td>
									<td align="left">Nº Obs.</td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
									<td align="center">5726</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Média</td>
									<td align="center">0.308</td>
									<td align="center">0.379</td>
									<td align="center">0.621</td>
									<td align="center">0.025</td>
									<td align="center">0.278</td>
									<td align="center">14.916</td>
									<td align="center">0.765</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Desvio Padrão</td>
									<td align="center">0.169</td>
									<td align="center">0.260</td>
									<td align="center">0.260</td>
									<td align="center">0.044</td>
									<td align="center">0.225</td>
									<td align="center">1.742</td>
									<td align="center">0.819</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Mín.</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">-0.863</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">8.835</td>
									<td align="center">0.002</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Máx.</td>
									<td align="center">0.982</td>
									<td align="center">1.000</td>
									<td align="center">1.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.851</td>
									<td align="center">0.912</td>
									<td align="center">20.652</td>
									<td align="center">7.958</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" rowspan="5">Empresas Restritas</td>
									<td align="left">Nº Obs.</td>
									<td align="center">3882</td>
									<td align="center">3882</td>
									<td align="center">3882</td>
									<td align="center">3882</td>
									<td align="center">3882</td>
									<td align="center">3882</td>
									<td align="center">3882</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Média</td>
									<td align="center">0.286</td>
									<td align="center">0.454</td>
									<td align="center">0.546</td>
									<td align="center">0.023</td>
									<td align="center">0.271</td>
									<td align="center">14.181</td>
									<td align="center">0.784</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Desvio Padrão</td>
									<td align="center">0.177</td>
									<td align="center">0.271</td>
									<td align="center">0.271</td>
									<td align="center">0.050</td>
									<td align="center">0.211</td>
									<td align="center">1.440</td>
									<td align="center">0.887</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Mín.</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">-0.863</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">8.835</td>
									<td align="center">0.002</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Máx.</td>
									<td align="center">0.982</td>
									<td align="center">1.000</td>
									<td align="center">1.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.851</td>
									<td align="center">0.912</td>
									<td align="center">18.155</td>
									<td align="center">7.958</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left" rowspan="5">Empresas Não Restritas</td>
									<td align="left">Nº Obs.</td>
									<td align="center">1844</td>
									<td align="center">1844</td>
									<td align="center">1844</td>
									<td align="center">1844</td>
									<td align="center">1844</td>
									<td align="center">1844</td>
									<td align="center">1844</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Média</td>
									<td align="center">0.354</td>
									<td align="center">0.221</td>
									<td align="center">0.779</td>
									<td align="center">0.029</td>
									<td align="center">0.294</td>
									<td align="center">16.462</td>
									<td align="center">0.724</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Desvio Padrão</td>
									<td align="center">0.139</td>
									<td align="center">0.139</td>
									<td align="center">0.139</td>
									<td align="center">0.028</td>
									<td align="center">0.251</td>
									<td align="center">1.238</td>
									<td align="center">0.651</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Mín.</td>
									<td align="center">0.034</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">-0.580</td>
									<td align="center">0.000</td>
									<td align="center">13.376</td>
									<td align="center">0.007</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Máx.</td>
									<td align="center">0.897</td>
									<td align="center">1.000</td>
									<td align="center">1.000</td>
									<td align="center">0.214</td>
									<td align="center">0.909</td>
									<td align="center">20.652</td>
									<td align="center">5.361</td>
								</tr>
							</tbody>
						</table>
						<table-wrap-foot>
							<fn id="TFN8">
								<p><italic>Notas.</italic> Amostra de 192 empresas; alavancagem: dívidas totais divididas pelos ativos totais; dívidas de cp: dívidas de curto prazo- proporção das dívidas de curto prazo sobre as dívidas totais; dívidas de lp: dívidas de longo prazo- proporção das dívidas de longo prazo sobre as dívidas totais; rentabilidade: relação entre EBITDA e ativos totais; tangibilidade: relação entre ativos imobilizados e ativos totais; tamanho: logaritmo natural dos ativos totais; M/B: oportunidades de investimento calculadas pelo índice <italic>market-to-book-</italic> ativo a valor de mercado dividido pelo ativo a valor contábil; nºobs: número de observações; mín.: mínimo; máx.: máximo.</p>
							</fn>
						</table-wrap-foot>
					</table-wrap>
				</p>
				<p>As 192 empresas da amostra componentes das análises de financiamento possuem uma média de alavancagem de 30,8%. Nota-se que as empresas não restritas se mostram, na média, mais endividadas do que empresas restritas. Esses números podem estar refletindo o argumento de acesso mais fácil a empréstimos e financiamentos por empresas não restritas em comparação a empresas restritas.</p>
				<p>Ainda, empresas restritas apresentaram proporção maior de dívidas de curto prazo em relação a dívidas de longo prazo quando comparadas, às empresas não restritas. Segundo <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>), empresas menores, consideradas mais restritas, contam mais com endividamento de curto prazo, normalmente créditos bancários, devido à aversão ao risco pelos bancos. Adicionalmente, empresas restritas possuem menor rentabilidade, tangibilidade e tamanho e maior <italic>market-to-book</italic>.</p>
				<p>Na <xref ref-type="table" rid="t40">Tabela 4</xref> é apresentada a evolução das principais variáveis deste estudo, analisando o comportamento das empresas segregadas em restritas e não restritas antes da crise de 2008, na crise de 2008, entre as crises de 2008 e 2015 e na crise de 2015. Para analisar se as diferenças das médias são estatisticamente significativas, foi aplicado o teste de diferenças de médias (teste <italic>t</italic>).</p>
				<p>
					<table-wrap id="t40">
						<label>Tabela 4.</label>
						<caption>
							<title><italic>Participação das Variáveis por Período</italic></title>
						</caption>
						<table>
							<colgroup>
								<col/>
								<col/>
								<col/>
								<col/>
								<col/>
								<col/>
							</colgroup>
                            <thead>
								<tr>
									<th align="left"> </th>
									<th align="center">Investimento</th>
									<th align="center">Caixa</th>
									<th align="center">Alavancagem</th>
									<th align="left">Dívidas CP</th>
									<th align="center">Dívidas LP</th>
								</tr>
                                </thead>
                            <tbody>
								<tr>
									<td align="center" colspan="6">Empresas Restritas </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Antes crise 2008</td>
									<td align="center">3.6%</td>
									<td align="center">19.3%</td>
									<td align="center">23.8%</td>
									<td align="center">45.2%</td>
									<td align="center">54.8%</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crise 2008</td>
									<td align="center">1.9%</td>
									<td align="center">13.0%</td>
									<td align="center">26.4%</td>
									<td align="center">50.0%</td>
									<td align="center">50.0%</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Entre crises</td>
									<td align="center">1.4%</td>
									<td align="center">9.5%</td>
									<td align="center">28.2%</td>
									<td align="center">44.8%</td>
									<td align="center">55.2%</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crise 2015</td>
									<td align="center">0.9%</td>
									<td align="center">7.3%</td>
									<td align="center">31.3%</td>
									<td align="center">45.9%</td>
									<td align="center">54.1%</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="center" colspan="6">Empresas Não Restritas </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Antes crise 2008</td>
									<td align="center">3.3%</td>
									<td align="center">13.6%</td>
									<td align="center">31.1%</td>
									<td align="center">22.0%</td>
									<td align="center">78.0%</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crise 2008</td>
									<td align="center">2.1%</td>
									<td align="center">12.0%</td>
									<td align="center">35.7%</td>
									<td align="center">21.8%</td>
									<td align="center">78.2%</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Entre crises</td>
									<td align="center">1.7%</td>
									<td align="center">9.8%</td>
									<td align="center">35.2%</td>
									<td align="center">21.9%</td>
									<td align="center">78.1%</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crise 2015</td>
									<td align="center">1.5%</td>
									<td align="center">7.6%</td>
									<td align="center">37.6%</td>
									<td align="center">22.8%</td>
									<td align="center">77.2%</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Todo o período</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left"><bold>Estatística <italic>t</italic>
</bold></td>
									<td align="center">-1,269</td>
									<td align="center">1.052</td>
									<td align="center">-11.243</td>
									<td align="center">44.324</td>
									<td align="center">-44.324</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crise 2008</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left"><bold>Estatística <italic>t</italic>
</bold></td>
									<td align="center">-0,401</td>
									<td align="center">0.935</td>
									<td align="center">-11,761***</td>
									<td align="center">17,118***</td>
									<td align="center">-17,118***</td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left">Crise 2015</td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
									<td align="center"> </td>
								</tr>
								<tr>
									<td align="left"><bold>Estatística <italic>t</italic>
</bold></td>
									<td align="center">-5.071</td>
									<td align="center">-1.279*</td>
									<td align="center">7.120</td>
									<td align="center">26.939</td>
									<td align="center">-26.939</td>
								</tr>
							</tbody>
						</table>
						<table-wrap-foot>
							<fn id="TFN9">
								<p><italic>Notas.</italic> Análise de 203 (192) empresas da amostra de investimentos (financiamentos).***, ** e * representam significância estatística aos níveis de 1, 5 e 10%, respectivamente.</p>
							</fn>
						</table-wrap-foot>
					</table-wrap>
				</p>
				<p>Observa-se queda dos investimentos e de caixa no período, tanto de empresas restritas quanto não restritas, não havendo, contudo, diferença estatisticamente significativa dos investimentos entre os grupos de empresas, enquanto caixa apresentou diferença de médias com significância estatística na crise de 2015. Em relação à alavancagem, as empresas apresentaram trajetória crescente em todos os períodos analisados, havendo diferença significativa entre a alavancagem das empresas na crise de 2008. Quanto à maturidade das dívidas, é observável que a proporção de dívidas de curto prazo sobre o endividamento total de empresas restritas é maior em relação às empresas não restritas, sendo que, assim como a alavancagem, existe diferença estatisticamente significativa na crise de 2008 entre as empresas. </p>
				<sec>
					<title>4.1. Resultados Estatísticos - Investimentos</title>
					<p>A <xref ref-type="table" rid="t50">Tabela 5</xref> apresenta os resultados estatísticos dos impactos de crises sobre os investimentos.</p>
					<p>
						<table-wrap id="t50">
							<label>Tabela 5.</label>
							<caption>
								<title><italic>Impacto de Crises sobre Investimentos</italic></title>
							</caption>
							<table>
								<colgroup>
									<col span="5"/>
								</colgroup>
								<thead>
									<tr>
										<th align="center" colspan="5">Variável Dependente: Invest = CAPEX/Ativo Total </th>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
										<th align="center" colspan="2">Equação (1) </th>
										<th align="center" colspan="2">Equação (2) </th>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>p-val EF, RC</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>p-val EF, RC</italic></th>
									</tr>
								</thead>
								<tbody>
                                    <tr>
										<td align="left">Crise</td>
										<td align="center">-0.002</td>
										<td align="center">0.103</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise*Rest</td>
										<td align="center">-0.001</td>
										<td align="center">0.472</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2008</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.002</td>
										<td align="center">0.593</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2008*Rest</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">-0.002</td>
										<td align="center">0.581</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2015</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">-0.004</td>
										<td align="center">0.034</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2015*Rest</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">-0.005</td>
										<td align="center">0.064</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Caixa</td>
										<td align="center">0.019</td>
										<td align="center">0.650</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Caixa*Rest</td>
										<td align="center">0.045</td>
										<td align="center">0.34</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise2008*Rest*Caixa </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.014</td>
										<td align="center">0.242</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise2015*Rest*Caixa </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.036</td>
										<td align="center">0.005</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">M/B</td>
										<td align="center">0.003</td>
										<td align="center">0.128</td>
										<td align="center">0.004</td>
										<td align="center">0.083</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Constante</td>
										<td align="center">0.009</td>
										<td align="center">0.002</td>
										<td align="center">0.014</td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Nº observações</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">6097</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">6097</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Nº empresas</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">203</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">203</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² within</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.024</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.013</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² between</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.013</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.041</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² overall</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.015</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.017</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Estimação</td>
										<td align="center" colspan="2">Efeitos Fixos </td>
										<td align="center" colspan="2">Efeitos Fixos </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Breusch e Pagan</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chi2(1):</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">280.91</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">282.42</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; Chi2:</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chow</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Estatística F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">3.11</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">2.96</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Hausman</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chi2(5):</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">37.55</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">12.15</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; Chi2:</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.096</td>
									</tr>
								</tbody>
							</table>
							<table-wrap-foot>
								<fn id="TFN10">
									<p><italic>Notas.</italic> Invest: CAPEX dividido pelos ativos totais; crise: <italic>dummies</italic> das crises de 2008 e 2015; rest: empresas restritas; crise*rest: interação entre crises e empresas restritas; crise 2008: <italic>dummy</italic> 1 entre o quarto trimestre de 2008 e o segundo trimestre de 2009, e zero caso contrário; crise 2015: <italic>dummy</italic> 1 entre o segundo trimestre de 2014 e o terceiro trimestre de 2016, e zero caso contrário; crise2008*rest e crise2015*rest: interação entre as crises de 2008 e 2015 e empresas restritas; caixa: caixa e equivalentes de caixa dividido pelos ativos totais; caixa*rest: interação entre caixa e empresas restritas; crise2008*rest*caixa e crise2015*rest*caixa: interação entre crises de 2008 e 2015, empresas restritas e caixa; M/B: <italic>market-to-book</italic>- ativo a valor de mercado dividido pelo ativo a valor contábil; coef.: coeficientes; p-val EF, RC: nível de significância do coeficiente para regressão por efeitos fixos com erros-padrão robustos clusterizados; nº observações: número de observações; Prob&gt; F: nível de significância do modelo; Breusch e Pagan: p-valor do teste LM de Breusch-Pagan; Chow: p-valor do teste F de Chow; Hausman: p-valor do teste de Hausman; R² within: coeficiente de explicação dos efeitos da variação ao longo do tempo para um dado indivíduo; R² between: coeficiente de explicação dos efeitos da variação entre indivíduos; R² overall: coeficiente de explicação geral do modelo.</p>
								</fn>
							</table-wrap-foot>
						</table-wrap>
					</p>
					<p>A partir dos resultados estatísticos, observa-se que o impacto da crise de 2008 sobre as empresas restritas não foi estatisticamente diferente do que sobre as empresas não restritas, possivelmente devido ao fato de ter seu estopim em outro país que não o Brasil, além de as empresas estarem investindo relativamente mais naquele momento, como mostra a <xref ref-type="table" rid="t40">tabela 4</xref>.</p>
					<p>Já a crise de 2015 afetou negativa e significativamente os investimentos das empresas no geral (como mostram os coeficientes da variável <italic>Crise 2015</italic>), todavia o impacto negativo foi ainda maior para empresas restritas em relação às empresas não restritas (grupo de referência na regressão). Maiores quedas nos investimentos de empresas restritas em momentos de crise estão em consonância com evidências na literatura (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Campello et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.,2010</xref>), uma vez que o acesso a recursos por essas empresas torna-se ainda mais difícil.</p>
					<p>Considerando a importância do caixa na mitigação dos efeitos das crises sobre os investimentos das empresas, a relação entre caixa e investimentos foi significativa, positiva e estatisticamente maior para empresas restritas em relação a empresas não restritas apenas na crise de 2015. Esse resultado é consistente com <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.(2010</xref>), que obtêm evidências de que a relação entre caixa e investimento na crise é mais forte para empresas restritas, seguindo a ideia de precaução do caixa, uma vez que essas empresas teriam acesso a recursos externos dificultados principalmente em momentos de crise e contariam mais com seus recursos internos.</p>
					<p>Assim, os resultados permitem concluir que, ao mesmo tempo em que a crise de 2015 provocou queda observável sobre os investimentos de empresas restritas, os investimentos dessas empresas foram mais sensíveis ao caixa naquele momento, devido à maior dificuldade no acesso a recursos externos na crise. </p>
				</sec>
				<sec>
					<title>4.2. Resultados Estatísticos - Financiamentos</title>
					<p>Na <xref ref-type="table" rid="t60">Tabela 6</xref> são apresentados os resultados do impacto de crises sobre a alavancagem das empresas:</p>
					<p>
						<table-wrap id="t60">
							<label>Tabela 6.</label>
							<caption>
								<title><italic>Impacto de Crises sobre Financiamentos</italic></title>
							</caption>
							<table>
								<colgroup>
									<col span="5"/>
								</colgroup>
								<thead>
									<tr>
										<th align="center" colspan="5">Variável Dependente: Alav = Dívida Total/Ativo Total </th>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
										<th align="center" colspan="2">Equação (3) </th>
										<th align="center" colspan="2">Equação (4) </th>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>p-val EF, RC</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>p-val EF, RC</italic></th>
									</tr>
								</thead>
								<tbody>
                                    <tr>
										<td align="left">Crise</td>
										<td align="center">0.006</td>
										<td align="center">0.566</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise*Rest</td>
										<td align="center">0.008</td>
										<td align="center">0.478</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2008</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.011</td>
										<td align="center">0.337</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2008*Rest</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">-0.026</td>
										<td align="center">0.078</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2015</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.006</td>
										<td align="center">0.644</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2015*Rest</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.015</td>
										<td align="center">0.299</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Rentab</td>
										<td align="center">-0.139</td>
										<td align="center">0.031</td>
										<td align="center">-0.134</td>
										<td align="center">0.031</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Tangib</td>
										<td align="center">-0.015</td>
										<td align="center">0.615</td>
										<td align="center">-0.012</td>
										<td align="center">0.701</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Tam</td>
										<td align="center">0.030</td>
										<td align="center">0.009</td>
										<td align="center">0.026</td>
										<td align="center">0.026</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">M/B</td>
										<td align="center">-0.047</td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="center">-0.048</td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Constante</td>
										<td align="center">-0.107</td>
										<td align="center">0.532</td>
										<td align="center">-0.035</td>
										<td align="center">0.836</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Nº observações</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">5726</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">5726</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Nº empresas</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">192</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">192</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² within</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.140</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.146</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² between</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.040</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.041</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² overall</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.061</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.064</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Estimação</td>
										<td align="center" colspan="2">Efeitos Fixos </td>
										<td align="center" colspan="2">Efeitos Fixos </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Breusch e Pagan</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chi2(1):</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">44762.19</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">44974.68</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; Chi2:</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chow</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Estatística F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">96.17</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">96.77</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Hausman</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chi2(5):</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">50.56</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">14.67</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; Chi2:</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.066</td>
									</tr>
								</tbody>
							</table>
							<table-wrap-foot>
								<fn id="TFN11">
									<p><italic>Notas.</italic> Alav: alavancagem, - dívidas totais divididas pelos ativos totais; crise: <italic>dummies</italic> das crises de 2008 e 2015; rest: empresas restritas; crise*rest: interação entre crises e empresas restritas; crise 2008: <italic>dummy</italic> 1 entre o quarto trimestre de 2008 e o segundo trimestre de 2009, e zero caso contrário; crise 2015: <italic>dummy</italic> 1 entre o segundo trimestre de 2014 e o terceiro trimestre de 2016, e zero caso contrário; crise2008*rest e crise2015*rest: interação entre as crises de 2008 e 2015 e empresas restritas; rentab: rentabilidade- relação entre EBITDA e ativos totais; tangib: tangibilidade- relação entre ativos imobilizados e ativos totais; tam: tamanho- logaritmo natural dos ativos totais; M/B: <italic>market-to-book</italic>- ativo a valor de mercado dividido pelo ativo a valor contábil; coef.: coeficientes; p-val EF, RC: nível de significância do coeficiente para regressão por efeitos fixos com erros-padrão robustos clusterizados; nº observações: número de observações; Prob&gt; F: nível de significância do modelo; Breusch e Pagan: p-valor do teste LM de Breusch-Pagan; Chow: p-valor do teste F de Chow; Hausman: p-valor do teste de Hausman; R² within: coeficiente de explicação dos efeitos da variação ao longo do tempo para um dado indivíduo; R² between: coeficiente de explicação dos efeitos da variação entre indivíduos; R² overall: coeficiente de explicação geral do modelo.</p>
								</fn>
							</table-wrap-foot>
						</table-wrap>
					</p>
					<p>Os resultados apontaram que a crise de 2008 impactou, de forma mais negativa e significativa, a alavancagem das empresas restritas em relação às empresas não restritas, em consonância com <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>). Os impactos da crise de 2015 sobre a alavancagem não foram significativamente diferentes entre as empresas restritas e não restritas. </p>
					<p>Os impactos não significantes da crise de 2015 sobre a alavancagem das empresas levantam algumas possibilidades de interpretação. De um lado, como apresenta a figura 1, a oferta de crédito às empresas brasileiras foi consideravelmente reduzida na crise de 2015, o que, seguindo estudos como <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>), levaria a uma relação esperada negativa entre crises e alavancagem. Por outro lado, ao menos duas particularidades poderiam contrariar essa relação esperada negativa sobre as empresas brasileiras, sendo elas a atuação anticíclica do BNDES e o aumento da participação de dívidas em moeda estrangeira. </p>
					<p>Como observaram <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Sant'anna, Junior e Araujo (2009</xref>), na crise de 2008 a atuação anticíclica dos bancos públicos, especialmente do BNDES, compensou a desaceleração das operações de crédito dos bancos privados, evitando maiores reduções no volume de crédito concedido às empresas. Adicionalmente, segundo <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Oliveira e Cunha (2012</xref>), o acesso aos financiamentos do BNDES é mais fácil para empresas menos restritas financeiramente, o que explicaria o resultado deste estudo para a crise de 2008. </p>
					<p>Ainda, conforme divulgação do CEMEC (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2016</xref>), o endividamento das empresas brasileiras de capital aberto se mostrou crescente entre 2010 e 2016, evidenciando o aumento da participação de dívidas em moeda estrangeira na composição do endividamento total das empresas. Nesse contexto, em momentos de crise, cuja taxa de câmbio tende a aumentar, é de se esperar que o saldo de dívidas em moeda estrangeira se torne ainda maior. Logo, é possível levantar a hipótese de que a ausência de efeitos significativos das crises sobre a alavancagem das empresas pode ser explicada pela junção de fatores compensatórios, como a queda na oferta de crédito de um lado e, do outro lado, efeitos da atuação anticíclica de bancos públicos e aumento nas dívidas em moeda estrangeira. </p>
					<p>Analisando as variáveis de controle rentabilidade, tangibilidade, tamanho e <italic>market-to-book</italic>, observa-se sinal negativo para as variáveis rentabilidade e <italic>market-to-book</italic> e sinal positivo para a variável tamanho, sendo tangibilidade a única variável não significativa para explicar a alavancagem das empresas. </p>
					<p>Sobre os impactos de crises sobre a proporção de dívidas de curto prazo, na <xref ref-type="table" rid="t70">Tabela 7</xref> são apresentados seus resultados:</p>
					<p>
						<table-wrap id="t70">
							<label>Tabela 7.</label>
							<caption>
								<title><italic>Impacto de Crises sobre Dívidas de Curto Prazo</italic></title>
							</caption>
							<table>
								<colgroup>
									<col span="5"/>
								</colgroup>
								<thead>
									<tr>
										<th align="center" colspan="5">Variável Dependente: DívCP - Dívidas CP/Dívidas Totais </th>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
										<th align="center" colspan="2">Equação (5) </th>
										<th align="center" colspan="2">Equação (6) </th>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<th align="center"><italic> </italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>p-val EF, RC</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>Coef.</italic></th>
										<th align="center"><italic>p-val EF, RC</italic></th>
									</tr>
								</thead>
								<tbody>
                                    <tr>
										<td align="left">Crise</td>
										<td align="center">0.029</td>
										<td align="center">0.007</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise*Rest</td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="center">0.983</td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2008</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">-0.005</td>
										<td align="center">0.776</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2008*Rest</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.055</td>
										<td align="center">0.019</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2015</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.038</td>
										<td align="center">0.010</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Crise 2015*Rest</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">-0.014</td>
										<td align="center">0.504</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Rentab</td>
										<td align="center">-0.124</td>
										<td align="center">0.070</td>
										<td align="center">-0.125</td>
										<td align="center">0.067</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Tangib</td>
										<td align="center">-0.072</td>
										<td align="center">0.071</td>
										<td align="center">-0.067</td>
										<td align="center">0.094</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Tam</td>
										<td align="center">-0.063</td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="center">-0.063</td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">M/B</td>
										<td align="center">0.006</td>
										<td align="center">0.649</td>
										<td align="center">0.006</td>
										<td align="center">0.641</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Constante</td>
										<td align="center">1.333</td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="center">1.332</td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Nº observações</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">5726</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">5726</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Nº empresas</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">192</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">192</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² within</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.029</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.032</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² between</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.439</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.436</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">R² overall</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.301</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.302</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Estimação</td>
										<td align="center" colspan="2">Efeitos Fixos </td>
										<td align="center" colspan="2">Efeitos Fixos </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Breusch e Pagan</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chi2(1):</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">20372.51</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">20424.44</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; Chi2:</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chow</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Estatística F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">32.31</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">32.26</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; F</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.000</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Hausman</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center"> </td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Chi2(5):</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">24.00</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">24.95</td>
									</tr>
									<tr>
										<td align="left">Prob&gt; Chi2:</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.001</td>
										<td align="left"> </td>
										<td align="center">0.0016</td>
									</tr>
								</tbody>
							</table>
							<table-wrap-foot>
								<fn id="TFN12">
									<p><italic>Notas.</italic>Dívcp: dívidas de curto prazo - dívidas de curto prazo divididas pelas dívidas totais; crise: dummies das crises de 2008 e 2015; rest: empresas restritas; crise*rest: interação entre crises e empresas restritas; crise 2008: dummy 1 entre o quarto trimestre de 2008 e o segundo trimestre de 2009, e zero caso contrário; crise 2015: dummy 1 entre o segundo trimestre de 2014 e o terceiro trimestre de 2016, e zero caso contrário; crise2008*rest e crise2015*rest: interação entre crises de 2008 e 2015 e empresas restritas; rentab: rentabilidade- relação entre EBITDA e ativos totais; tangib: tangibilidade- relação entre ativos imobilizados e ativos totais; tam: tamanho- logaritmo natural dos ativos totais; M/B: <italic>market-to-book</italic>- o ativo a valor de mercado dividido pelo ativo a valor contábil; coef.: coeficientes; p-val EF, RC: nível de significância do coeficiente para regressão por efeitos fixos com erros-padrão robustos clusterizados; nº observações: número de observações; Prob&gt; F: nível de significância do modelo; Breusch e Pagan: p-valor do teste LM de Breusch-Pagan; Chow: p-valor do teste F de Chow; Hausman: p-valor do teste de Hausman; R² within: coeficiente de explicação dos efeitos da variação ao longo do tempo para um dado indivíduo; R² between: coeficiente de explicação dos efeitos da variação entre indivíduos; R² overall: coeficiente de explicação geral do modelo.</p>
								</fn>
							</table-wrap-foot>
						</table-wrap>
					</p>
					<p>Os resultados apresentados na <xref ref-type="table" rid="t70">Tabela 7</xref> apontam que a crise de 2008 impactou de forma mais expressiva, positivamente, a proporção de dívidas de curto prazo das empresas restritas comparativamente às empresas não restritas, corroborando a ideia de <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al. (2013</xref>) de que, em momentos de crise, bancos buscam reduzir a maturidade dos recursos concedidos às empresas a fim de reduzir riscos, de tal forma que, se as dívidas de empresas restritas são provenientes principalmente de recursos bancários, dada a maior dificuldade de acesso a fontes alternativas - como mencionam <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>) -, a sensibilidade das dívidas de curto prazo dessas empresas a crises, marcadas por choques na oferta de crédito, seria maior. </p>
					<p>Ainda, a crise de 2015 impactou a proporção de dívidas de curto prazo tanto de empresas restritas quanto não restritas, não sendo estatisticamente diferente entre ambos os grupos de empresas. </p>
					<p>Cabe deixar um ponto de atenção nas interpretações das análises dos resultados referentes à crise de 2008. Naquele momento, frente ao processo de convergência das normas contábeis nacionais às internacionais trazidas com a Lei nº 11.638, de 2007, cuja transição passou a ocorrer a partir de 2008, algumas adequações passaram a ser refletidas nas demonstrações financeiras das empresas naquele ano. Como, neste estudo, são utilizados parâmetros contábeis na construção das variáveis utilizadas nas análises, podem existir fatores de confusão impactando as estimações.</p>
				</sec>
			</sec>
			<sec sec-type="conclusions">
				<title>5. Considerações Finais</title>
				<p>O objetivo deste estudo foi investigar os impactos das crises de 2008 e 2015 sobre investimentos e financiamentos de empresas brasileiras restritas e não restritas. Investimentos foram representados pelos gastos de capital das empresas, e financiamentos foram representados pela alavancagem e pela maturidade das dívidas.</p>
				<p>A amostra do modelo de investimentos contou com 203 empresas brasileiras de capital aberto, e a amostra do modelo de financiamentos contou com 192 empresas, utilizando dados trimestrais entre o primeiro trimestre de 2007 e terceiro trimestre de 2016, capturando as crises de 2008 e 2015. As empresas foram segregadas <italic>ex ante</italic> às crises em restritas e não restritas, com base no critério de existência ou não de <italic>rating</italic>. </p>
				<p>Evidências apontaram que os investimentos de empresas restritas foram negativamente mais impactados pela crise de 2015 em relação a empresas não restritas. Além disso, a relação entre investimentos e caixa na crise de 2015 se mostrou positivamente mais relevante para empresas restritas, comparativamente a empresas não restritas. Maiores impactos de crises sobre investimentos de empresas restritas e a maior relevância do caixa para essas empresas em momentos de crise são consistentes com as análises de <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Duchin et al.(2010</xref>).</p>
				<p>Com relação aos financiamentos, os resultados apontaram que a crise de 2008 impactou, negativa e significativamente, a alavancagem das empresas restritas em relação às empresas não restritas, como em <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Leary (2009</xref>) e <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Akbar et al.(2013</xref>). Quanto à maturidade das dívidas, conforme <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Paula et al.(2013</xref>), a proporção de dívidas de curto prazo em relação às dívidas totais de empresas restritas pareceu aumentar mais do que para empresas não restritas somente na crise de 2008. </p>
				<p>As evidências permitem concluir que crises financeiras são capazes de gerar impactos significativos sobre os investimentos e financiamentos das empresas, podendo ser diferentes entre as empresas, principalmente levando em conta fatores relacionados à maior ou menor facilidade na obtenção de recursos externos, refletidos na abordagem de restrições financeiras. Essas evidências trazem contribuições à literatura de finanças e podem direcionar estratégias por parte das próprias empresas, como práticas ligadas à precaução para possíveis choques na oferta de crédito, e até mesmo de ofertantes de crédito em momentos de instabilidade financeira. </p>
				<p>Uma das limitações deste estudo é a utilização de empresas de capital aberto na amostra, em que algumas são classificadas como restritas, podendo provocar alguns vieses nas análises, visto que são naturalmente menos restritas que empresas privadas, não incluídas na amostra. Além disso, foi utilizado o <italic>rating</italic> como indicativo de restrição financeira, mas existem outras métricas capazes de indicar essa classificação.</p>
				<p>Como sugestão de pesquisas futuras, pode-se estudar a recente crise de 2015, considerada uma das piores recessões no Brasil. Além disso, entende-se que devam existir estudos aprofundando ainda mais nos critérios de restrição financeira que seriam pertinentes à realidade brasileira.</p>
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