289 Investigaciones Regionales - Journal of Regional Research Inv. Reg. 1695-7253 2340-2717 Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional España investig.regionales@aecr.org 28981943005 10.38191/iirr-jorr.24.029 Articles Multiplicadores locales de empleo en las ciudades de México: contribuciones del empleo manufacturero, comerciable y creativo Valdivia López Marcos marcosv@crim.unam.mx Investigador titular de tiempo completo. Centro Regional de Investigaciones Multidisciplinarias de la Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM). México. México Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Junio 2025 62 77 101 05 08 2021 20 06 2024 © 2024 by the authors. Licensee: Investigaciones Regionales – Journal of Regional Research - The Journal of AECR, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, Spain. This article is distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Com mons Attribution, Non-Commercial (CC BY NC) license 2025 The authors https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ Esta obra está bajo una Licencia Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional. Resumen

Este trabajo presenta estimaciones de multiplicadores locales de empleo en 386 ciudades y en 33 ciudades capitales de México para los periodos 2010-2020 y 2006-2018 respectivamente. Además de la clasificación tradicional que distingue entre empleo manufacturero y no manufacturero, se considera una clasificación alternativa de bienes comerciables basada en índices de concentración laboral a nivel de rama. El estudio estima multiplicadores significativos del empleo manufacturero que se ubican en el rango superior a los hallados en otras regiones del mundo. En contraste, la clasificación alternativa genera multiplicadores de magnitud inferior que son más consistentes a los estimados para otros países. Este estudio demuestra que estos últimos son más adecuados para entender este fenómeno en México. La investigación a su vez documenta que los multiplicadores de empleo asociados a actividades creativas son superiores a los estimados en el conjunto del empleo manufacturero y comerciable, y similares a los desarrollados por el empleo tecnológico.

 Abstract

This research estimates local employment multipliers for Mexican cities. To classify tradable and non-tradable sectors, the study employs both the traditional manufacturing/non-manufacturing classification and an alternative classification based on an employment concentration index that includes services. The findings indicate that manufacturing generates significant multipliers, at the upper bound of those estimated in other regions. However, the alternative classification yields much lower, and more reliable, multipliers. Additionally, the study reveals that creative and technological employment sectors produce larger multipliers compared to the average trade/manufacturing sector.

 Palabras clave Mercados laborales locales multiplicadores de empleo sector comerciable empleo creativo econometría Keywords Regional labor markets local employment multipliers tradable sector creative employment econometrics. Clasificación JEL E26; F16; J21; J24; R15; R23 redalyc-journal-id 289 <p>[Para la comprensión de este artículo es necesario consultar la versión en PDF por la inclusión de símbolos matemáticos en la explicación que no son reproducibles aquí.]</p> </sec> </body> <back> <ref-list> <title> <bold> Referencias </bold> Bartik, T. y Sotherland, N. (2019). Local job multipliers in the United States: variation with local characteristics and with high-Tech hhocks. Upjohn Institute working paper, 19-301. Bartik T. Sotherland N. Upjohn Institute working paper 2019 19 301 Bartik, T. J. (1991). Who Benefits from State and Local Economic Development Policies? W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. Bartik T. J. 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